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Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat match prediction match

Match date · 27 Jan 2020 · 09:15 IST
REN vs HEA prediction
  • One week before the game it looks like Renegades gained some momentum but we still have Brisbane as big favorites
Bet on Brisbane HeatStart Your Innings at LeoVegas!

Melbourne Renegades are set to host Brisbane Heat in match no. 56 of the ongoing Big Bash League at the Docklands Stadium, in Melbourne on Monday afternoon.

Well, Melbourne Renegades have nothing to lose, but the fact they can play spoilsport will make their existence all the more important. It is a clear cut situation for Heat, they need to win the match to stay alive in the title hunt or else they are eliminated. With the excitement rolling over to the last match of the group stage, this has been one hell of a season. As usual, I have assorted the best odds from the market which is going to pay you dividends this Monday evening.

Beau Webster averages 45.66 this season

Beau Webster to score over 22.5 @ 1.83Start Your Innings at LeoVegas!

When it boils down to a matter of scoring just 23 runs and you have a player who has scored consistently throughout the season, you ought to fall for this bet.

In the last five matches, Wester’s scores read - 7, 50, 36, 8, 49 (30 runs on average) and has scored north of 23 on as many as three occasions. His record at the Docklands Stadium has been good as well, having scored 129 runs in four matches at the venue at an average of 32.25 and scored more than 22 in three of those matches.

Overall, he is the second highest scorer for the Renegades after Shaun Marsh, having scored a total of 411 runs this season at a rate of 45.66 runs per innings with the top score of 67. Even in the last match he played against the Heat, he managed to score a brick 36-run to propel the score card. Meanwhile, he averages 26.50 in H2H matches against the Heat, which also fulfils our criteria. With healthy odds on offer, this bet cannot be ignored.

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Renegades have never won at the Docklands Stadium

Brisbane Heat to win the match @ 1.60Start Your Innings at LeoVegas!

When a desperate Brisbane Heat with the likes of AB de Villiers and Chris Lynn takes the field, you hardly give any chance to the opposition.

Melbourne Renegades have already hit rock bottom, having lost 11 of their 13 matches this season, which speaks loads of their miserable campaign this season. Even though Brisbane Heat have lost two of their last five matches, they are going to take the field on Monday with cause - a place in the knock-out stages. Having played 13 matches so far, the Heat have won six and lost the rest six.

On the other hand, the Melbourne Renegades are yet to win at the Dockland Stadium this season, which is a big reason to worry for the home team. Surprisingly, Brisbane Heat have ended up on the losing side in the last match they played against the Renegades. But, I can assure you that the situation has changed and the Queenslanders are going to for the kill in the upcoming match, which gives the misfiring Renegades slim chances of winning the match, making this a winning bet with handsome returns.

Eight of the last 10 matches had over 10 sixes

Total sixes to be over 10.5 @ 1.83Start Your Innings at LeoVegas!

It is quite justified why I hand picked this bet, with both the teams having enough big hitters to register just 11 sixes in 40 overs.

In the last five matches Melbourne Renegades featured in, a total of 60 sixes have been registered, which is equal to 12 sixes per match with the Renegades hitting 32 of them. Four of the above five matches had more than 11 sixes in a match. Beau Webster, Shaun Marsh and Aaron Finch have hit 16, 14 and 12 sixes respectively this season, so you can expect what’s coming.

The fun part is that when Brisbane Heat have played away from home, the number of sixes registered have been more than 11 in four of the last five matches. Strictly speaking, the six count is 68 (13.6 per match), while the Heat have managed to strike 36 of them (7.2 per match). Chris Lynn and Tom Banton have hit a total of 23 and 16 sixes respectively this season. Even in the last five H2H matches, three matches have had more than 10 sixes. This bet is a winner even before the coin is tossed.

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