Mumbai Indians were intended to host Chennai Super Kings in the curtain raiser of the 2020 Indian Premier League at the Wankhede Stadium, in Mumbai on March 29. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak this season was postponed to April 15 but IPL 2020 will be delayed even more as the lockdown of the country is extended to May 3. There are no new date for the first match, there are discusions about playing with empty stadiums and maybe start in the summer.
Are you surprised that we are giving you the odds for the 13th edition of the IPL when the tournament is a month away and no betting operator has even considered putting up odds? Well, this would be the right time to tell you that we, at Cricket Predictions, have finally decided to launch our analytics system that allows us to realize the ideal odds of any market in the IPL. And we want our readers to reap the benefit of the same by finding the best value that any bet can offer.
Let me not drag on with that but actually show you what we have in store for you. Here are the best bets that you can place for the first match of the IPL between Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings.
While the Chinnaswammy and Holkar have made a name for themselves as batting paradises, the Wankhede is not that far off as well. In the seven T20I matches that have been played at the Wankhede, the average first innings score of over 194 runs should tell you everything you need to know about the venue. Only once has a game taken place at the venue when the mark of 169 was not crossed - Sri Lanka vs India (137) in 2017. The IPL numbers are equally staggering.
In the seven home games that Mumbai played at the historic stadium last year, the figure of 169 was crossed on every occasion but one. The average score at the stadium last year was 176 runs which is well clear of the required number. The biggest factor that should give you confidence here is that fact that out of the six times that the number was crossed, thrice it was done by the visiting team that gives you an indication of the trust batsmen have in the wicket. So what about when Chennai came visiting you might ask? Well, Mumbai piled on 170 runs in the first innings against one of the best and most economical bowling units in the last edition of the tournament. Are you concerned about players being rusty for the first game? Don’t be. Last year Delhi scored 213 in their allotted 20 overs in the third game of the season. If you find any operator that offers more than or close to 2.00 to go over in this market, close your eyes and place the bet because the expected value here is immense.
Bet on over 169.5 runs if odds is 2.00 or higher!
Our analytics has quite categorically predicted that the odd makers will give Chennai the edge in this market. For Mumbai to go over them, it has predicted a value of 2.10 which will be incredible for punters and I am going to explain why. In the 16 matches that MI played en route to their fourth title, they were neck and neck with teams when it came to the opening partnership market. They outscored their opponents exactly half the number of times which obviously means that 2.10 is favorable to us. However, it might sound like a coin flip. IT IS NOT! Out of the eight times they outscored their opponents for the opening partnership, four came at home in just seven matches. Out of the three that they fell short, in two games they scored 4, and 3 runs lesser than their opponents which gives you the indication of how close it actually was.
But coming to the real matter at hand - CHENNAI SUPER KINGS. The teams played each other four times last season - twice in the regular season and twice in the playoffs. And guess what? Mumbai outscored them in this market 75% of the time. While only one game came at the Wankhede, two were played at Chepauk (CSK’s home ground) and the final took place in Hyderabad. The introduction of Chris Lynn to the team might be the reason for the faith in CSK but MI at home are just spectacular and anything close to 2.1 is a great value bet that does not require too much thought in my opinion.
Bet on MI to have highest opening partnership if odds is 2.10 or higher!
And again, I am going to bore you with the fact that Wankhede is a graveyard for bowlers, particularly in the shortest format of the game. But it’s not just the dead wicket that is a problem for batsmen to deal with. The dimensions of the ground are a different problem as well. Add to that the fire power between the two sets of teams and you have an outbreak of sixabeties. In the 16 games that Mumbai played in IPL 2019, they scored more than 11 sixes on nine occasions. While that might be concerning for you as far as the percentages are concerned, let me put those to rest.
Remember how I started off by talking about the Wankhede, there was a reason for that. Out of the nine times that a game Mumbai was involved in, five of these occasions, out of seven, occurred at the Wankhede. The other two times the teams scored 11 sixes which is literally a top edge away from sealing the win. With the likes of de Kock, Rohit, Pollard, Hardik, Suryakumar Yadav and now Chris Lynn, Mumbai are one of the hardest hitting teams in the league, particularly at home. Anything close to 2.00 as an odd, just go for it.
Bet on over 11.5 Sixes if odds is 2.00 or higher!
When we talk about hard-hitting stars in T20 cricket, Chris Lynn is right up there with the best of them. He is a guy who can single handedly take the game away from the opposition. However, that is not what we are here to talk about. For the first time in his IPL career, he is at a franchise where batting is prioritized as emphasized by their choice of the pitch year in-year out. Talking about IPL careers, Lynn averages 1.5 sixes a game in the cash rich tournament. That number increases to 1.6 when we look at his numbers in T20 cricket. But what about his current form?
Well, he has just come off a torrid BBL season where his team struggled quite a bit. But when it comes to this market, he was as consistent as ever hittin 23 big ones in just 14 games. The question now is how do we know he will be the same when he turns up in the blue of Mumbai. But we do! In the three matches he has played at the Wankhede and opened, the big Aussie has five sixes to his name. It was only in the 2018 edition that he did not score a six. It appears he is finally at a place where his talent can be fully utilized and if you see odds of 1.72 or above with any operator, go ahead and book it.
Bet on Chris Lynn to score a six at 1.72 or higher!
In a team that consists of de Kock, Rohit, Pollard, Hardik, and now Chris Lynn, why am I talking about Suryakumar Yadav? Well, because he might be the best of the lot in terms of form in the Mumbai team. He had a massive Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy where he finished with 392 runs in just 10 matches at an incredible average of 56. But that is just a tournament where mediocre players play right? How about we look at this tournament called the IPL then?
In the last two seasons, playing for Mumbai, he has averaged 36.57 and 32.61 respectively whilst being asked to bat at different positions. I sense that you are not convinced. So here is my final piece of information for you. Mumbai played Chennai four times last season. Yadav played in three of those games. He finished the year with two half centuries (59, 71*). Do you want to guess who those runs came against? Well, CSK were sick of seeing him bat and would have been glad that he did not come up with his best in the final. However, back home, he is going to be a pain in CSK’s you know what. He is going to be undervalued and in terms of the value that a player can offer for this game, it is difficult to look beyond him.
Bet on Yadav as best batsman at 5.50 or higher!
If you think Lynn is a great T20 player, which he is, Pollard deserves to be on the Mount Rushmore of all time IPL players. Since IPL 2012, there has only been one season when he has not scored more sixes than the number of matches played. Even his international numbers are impressive. He averages a cool 1.4 sixes per innings against the very best in the world. Last year, in the three games he played against Chennai Super Kings, he had five sixes to his name, including three in the final that took Mumbai close to 150.
But much like the Suryakumar Yadav tip, there is something more at work here than just the aforementioned numbers. SPOILER ALERT! What I am about to tell you will compel you to place this bet. I am sorry but it will force you to do it. If you don’t want to do that, please close this page. Since 2014, Pollard has batted against Chennai at the Wankhede five times. In the same period, there has been only one game when Pollard has not hit a six just once, while hitting the ball over the fence 13 times. If the odds are anywhere close to 1.85 or above, just do yourself and your bank account a favour and place this bet.
Bet on Pollard to score a six at 1.85 or higher!
We recommend that you bet at Royal Panda when they have published their oddsGo to Royalpanda.com