The question is not only captivating cricket audience, but almost the whole Indian nation. Which team will be crowned IPL winners 2020? We will soon give you the answer!
That said, it must not go unmentioned. As most of you already are aware of, the 13th edition of Indian Premier League was initially scheduled to start March 29. However, as a precautionary measure against the ongoing COVID-19 situation,The Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI) has suspended Vivo IPL 2020 till 15th April.
Let us now continue and give you precisely what we have promised. A peek into our crystal ball and right into the moment of the 2020 Indian Premier League price ceremony! How can we do that? The word is “Information”. Below, we present the most in-depth IPL 13 winner prediction you will ever read. A correct IPL Outright Win assessment is all about getting the probabilities right, how to identify and give weight to all variables that are shaping the final IPL table in May 2020. It’s not an easy task, and it takes more than a few bright minds to reach the result. But it can be done! Here at Cricketprediciton.com, we possess all the tools and experience to rise to this challenge. Even so, it required more work and resources than we initially expected. We did not only engage some of the world’s best IPL cricket tipsters. We did also simulate the 2020 IPL match schedule a couple hundred million times before we determined the correct answer. We can now with confidence, say that we have found the most precise solution to the IPL 2020 winner rebus.
KKR has a 17% chance of winning the Indian Premier League 2020 according to our prediction model estimates. This is higher probability than any other team entering the IPL tournament this year. Furthermore, 17% probability for an event outcome translates to an odds of roughly 5.9. If you prefer the odds expressed in fractions, it equals 4.90/1.
Many Indian betting sites offer odds up to 8.00 for Knight Rider to lift the Cup 2020. This corresponds to a probability of just 12.5%. Consider that at least 2% margin has been added to the odds probability by the bookies in order to make money. We are then down to 10.5%. This is the probability percentage, margins considered, most online sportsbooks believe to be fair when estimating the chances of KKR winning this year’s IPL edition. Our opinion is thus 6.5% away from the odds offered by online bookies for this selection. We are confident – we have found the IPL 2020 winner already.
The odds compilers responsible for pricing the IPL 2020 outrights must consequently all be sleeping, right? How could they otherwise have been pricing the two-time champions so incorrectly.
Our answer is YES! The bookies are either drunk, sleeping or have just woken up. None of the online betting sites currently offering odds on IPL 2020 outrights have got it correct. Our belief is that KKR’s poor performance the last couple of years might be an answer to sport traders drowsiness. Way too much weight has been given to the last year’s performance of Kolkata Knight Riders. In succession, a glitch in the odds compilers input data, gives us a great opportunity to capitalise on IPL winners’ odds, echoed in their final probability assessments.
"Hey, wake up odds compilers! Even if Vivo IPL 2020 temporarily has been suspended, the new opening date 20th April is approaching. Time is running out, and still, you haven't been able to get your probabilities right. Current IPL 2020 Winner odds laid by bookmakers online are indicating either incomplete model input data or incapable quant teams!"
Maybe we should not have said that? Better they keep sleeping a bit longer.
Incorrectly estimated probabilities mean opportunities for us to place cricket bets on odds rates with positive EV (Expected Value).
KKR are exceptional in their planning of tournaments. Don’t be surprised if they take us back a couple of years and produce one of the most difficult wickets to bat on in the IPL. Having acquired the services of Pat Cummins for a massive 15 crore at the auction, it would be a shocker if they don’t give their star man a wicket to match this year. But it is not just the Aussie that teams should be afraid of this season. They already had Lockie Ferguson, Harry Gurney, Kamlesh Nagarkoti, Shivam Mavi, Prasidh Krishna, and Andre Russell in the squad before the auction. With that kind of firepower at their disposal, they are going to turn Eden Gardens into a hell hole for teams throughout the year!
And when they are not playing at Eden, and need spinners to get into the act, they have those in aces as well. Kuldeep Yadav - who is a prolific wicket taker, at least at the international level - and Sunil Narine. The Windies star might not be the same force that he was with the ball in KKR’s two title winning campaigns, but he can still stun the opposition with his run stopping line and length. In the auction, they also picked up an Aussie called Chris Green. Not too many outside the land Down Under have heard of him. But believe me, he is effective! He stifles teams with his accurate bowling and even if the wicket column does not impress, the economy (7.12) does. He is right now serving a ban for an illegal bowling action. Good news for KKR though, he’ll be back in time for the IPL.
It is not just the bowling unit that has been improved. By adding Eoin Morgan, not only have they added a middle order expert to their ranks. Eoin Morgan also contributes with the experience that Dinesh Karthik so desperately was looking for. In young Shubman Gill and the explosive Tom Banton, they finally look like they have a proper opening partnership. If that doesn’t work, they still have the reliable Nitish Rana and Rahul Tripathi to lean on if the openers don’t get going.
And we haven’t even gotten to the best part yet. Remember we said that the bookmakers were sleeping on the two-time time champions. No, it’s not a joke. With odds of 8.00, this is a big payday waiting to happen. Remember, we are prediction an event with many possible outcomes. Even if KKR don’t win the IPL, they are almost guaranteed a place in the Playoffs. This can only mean one thing - Cha Ching. For the more risk averse bettor, the Playoffs might be a good time to hedge this bet and still be guaranteed a profit.
This year’s competition looks set to operate on the same basis as previous tournaments. Eight teams are playing each other home and away during a league stage. Following that, the top four teams then progress into the play-off stages of the tournament. We expect enormous of betting opportunities to follow as we are getting closer to the first coin toss. More IPL betting markets will be priced the following weeks and we’ll keep you updated for additional IPL winner tips. Still, we are not finished yet, we still have one more prediction to present already today! Can we give a forecast on the Playoffs? Absolutely.
Apart from Kolkata Knight Riders our prediction model estimates good chances for Mumbai Indians to reach the IPL 2020 Play-offs. The remaining two teams to reach the IPL play-off stage, we predict, Delhi Capitals and Chennai Super Kings. Below we give you an outline on the most important factors affecting each team in our IPL 2020 Playoffs prediction.
Head coach: Mahela Jayawardene
Captain: Rohit Sharma
Mumbai Indian will not be crowned IPL Champions 2020 according to our extensive data simulated forecast. Even so, reaching the IPL Playoffs will be easy for this team. MI has retained a huge chunk of their squad post their win last year. Even so, the defending Champions still went ahead and secured the services of Chris Lynn (2 crores) and Nathan Coulter-Nile (8 crores). While the former will be a formidable force at the top of the line-up alongside Quinton de Kock, the latter will be instrumental and adding the much-needed balance. The complete squad for MI indeed looks solid. Add to this a strong Indian core of Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Hardik Pandya, Krunal Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, and Rahul Chahar. Mumbai Indians have the freedom to chop and change the team as per their needs.
Head coach: Ricky Ponting
Captain: Shreyas Iyer
Ignoring the KKR odds, bookmakers around the globe have, and I am using this word very deliberately, disrespected one team - Delhi Capitals. DC finished level on points with Mumbai and Chennai last year with a bench filled with potentially great players. Their core of Shreyas Iyer, Prithvi Shaw, Shikhar Dhawan, Rishabh Pant, Ishant Sharma, Amit Mishra, Sandeep Lamichhane, and Kagiso Rabada is good enough to put the fear of god into any team.
How do you improve that? You buy one of the best spinners in the world in the form of Ravi Ashwin, via a trade. Then you make a splash in the auction buy Shimron Hetmyer (7.75 crores) and Marcus Stoinis (4.8 crores). Just Imagine, Jason Roy (1.5 crores), Alex Carey (2.4 crores), and Chris Woakes (1.5 crores) are mere backups in this team! At 8.00, this is a punter’s dream considering they are one of the heavy favorites to make the Playoffs yet again.
Head coach: Stephen Fleming
Captain: MS Dhoni
Just as one cannot say idli without sambar, Playoffs and Chennai Super Kings just cannot be separated. In the 12 seasons that the league has existed, CSK have made the Playoffs on ten occasions. The two years the Team is Yellow has not made it into the knockout rounds, they were banned from the league for their role in the 2013 scandal that rocked the IPL. So how in god’s name can you leave them out of the IPL Playoffs 2020?
In MS Dhoni, they have the greatest thinker in IPL history. With Suresh Raina, Faf du Plessis, Ambati Rayudu, Shane Watson, and Kedar Jadhav, the batting looks formidable. In terms of pure balance, it appears as good as CSK have ever looked. Power-hitting and finesse-players complementing each other perfectly. But that is not where their real strength lies!
That honour belongs to the slow wicket of Chepauk where Harbhajan Singh, Imran Tahir, Ravindra Jadeja, Deepak Chahar, and now Piyush Chawla (6.75 crores) will spin mazes around the batsmen.
The best thing about the IPL is the fact that every year there is a handful teams that surprise. Even so, these dark horses, more often than seldom, don’t manage to go all the way.
Question: What happens when you put match winners like David Warner, Jonny Bairstow, Rashid Khan, and Bhuvneshwar Kumar in the same team?
Answer: A dark horse. But you win the bookmaker’s trust it seems!
When you have all the aforementioned players in one team, you always have a chance. And there is no reason to doubt the ability of the team to perform above and beyond expectations. However, we do not see it that way. While Warner and Bairstow are spectacular and maybe the best opening partnership in the IPL, the players following them leave a lot to be desired. This was emphasised last year when the duo aggregated for a massive 1137 runs in 22 innings but all they could manage was 12 points. And this year, the way they thought was solving the problem was by acquiring the services of Virat Singh (1.9 crores) and Priyam Garg (1.9 crores).
Sunrisers Hyderbad seem to have become a favourite among many tipsters and odds compilers online. This is not our opinion. With the probabilities now being skewed in favour of KKR, Sunrisers Hyderabad is taking a hit in the opposite direction. SH will be a challenger to one of the four Playoffs spots, no doubt. However, placing a bet on Sunrisers Hyderbad to become IPL 2020 winners is not a value pick for any punter at current odds prices.
Maybe you have already figured it out. We have this far into the article mentioned only six of the eight teams competing for the IPL 2020 Cup. In other words, the only two left are the two fighting for number seven and eight in the table. We are of course talking about Kings XI Punjab and Rajasthan Royals. We will also give you an idea to why we forecast these teams to end up in the bottom.
Head coach: Anil Kumble
Captain: KL Rahul
Can you imagine a team that possesses power hitters like Chris Gayle, Nicholas Pooran, Glenn Maxwell and skill players like KL Rahul, Mayank Agarwal and Mandeep Singh being valued at odds 10.00? Well, Kings XI Punjab never cease to amaze us in the IPL. The value is less about the squad of players assembled and more a critique of how dysfunctional it is up in Mohali.
While their batting looks very secure, the bowling is a whole different ‘ball’ game. They might have added Sheldon Cottrell (8.5 crores) and Chris Jordan (3 crores) for a combined 11.5 crores. And still, team lacks any sort of real threat considering the nature of the Mohali wicket. They also end up playing a couple of ‘home games’ at the Holkar and that is never good news for the bowlers.
We strongly recommend that you stay away from this team as it is highly likely to end with cries.
Head coach: Steve Smith
Captain: KL Rahul
Apart from the acquisition of Robin Uthappa for 3 crores in the auction, the only real positive for Rajasthan Royal fans would have been saving some money on Jaydev Unadkat for just three crores this time around. With Steve Smith, Jos Buttler, Jofra Archer, and Ben Stokes, the Champions of the inaugural season have one of the best foreign cores in the game. However, it is the rest of the squad that is a problem.
They don’t possess a pacer who can share the load consistently with Archer, nor do they have a spinner. These facts can get even the most dedicated fans to their feet. They will win a couple of games because of their strong core. Nevertheless, all in all RR fans should prepare themselves to go in for a long painful season. Even at odds 10.00, this is not a bet that punters should be looking to make.
With a straightforward structure and some top-class domestic and international talent on show, the Indian Premier League is always a treat for cricket fans. However, it is fair to say that the 2020 tournament looks set to be one of the most exciting yet.
We hope that our prediction above has given you some food for thought on issues to consider. Especially if you look to get started with your IPL 2020 betting. Whether you’re looking to make wagers on outright results or plan to take advantage of in-play options, we are sure you’re going to love getting involved in the action.Place your IPL 2020 Winner bets @ 22Bet.com22Bet India is a Trusted Partner to Cricketprediction.com