After bundling India out for 223 in the first innings of the Cape Town Test, South Africa have lost one wicket at stumps on Day 1, and that eventually resulted in the game staying fairly in balance for the remainder of the match going forward. Indian skipper Virat Kohli was the star of the show as he shed his ambition of going too jugular or being tempted to hit anything wide of off-stump. His 79-run knock had everything for which a good old Kohli was known for and that set up the clash in the perfect mood. As we wait for Day 2 to get underway under the foothills of the Table Mountain, there can’t be a better occasion to explore what the bookmakers have to offer.
Aiden Markram might be one of the most promised cricketers of South African cricket in the last half a decade but he is yet to live upto the full potential in Test cricket. A Test average of 37.68 in 29 matches doesn’t do justice to what he has done in domestic cricket. While his average is way above the runs required to go above-par in the market, his record against India tells a different story. He averages 17.42 against India in 8 Test matches, spanning over 15 innings, and has only one fifty against his name. In the ongoing series, he averages 15.00 and found himself at the 12th number among the highest run-scorers. He averaged a lackadaisical 34.60 in the 2021 season to go with his average performance since the onset of the Freedom Trophy makes things further bleak. In such a situation, what is the ideal thing to do, you may ask? I would suggest you take the option of going under-par. Even though it is slightly risky, there is certainly a good reward there from which you can be benefitted extremely. Then what are you waiting for? Go ahead and bet big on Parimatch.
Here is a team bet that would interest you. Apart from India’s first innings score of 327 in the Centurion Test, none of the teams have crossed the barrier of 300 in the series. In fact, India’s 266 in the second innings of the Johannesburg Test was the second highest in the series. For the hosts, their highest score in the series came in the winning cause in Johannesburg, with Dean Elgar guiding them to 243/3 to win their first Test at the venue against India. From these data, it is clear that it is difficult to score over 243 at the venue, especially knowing the home team has already lost their best batter already. Since 2017 88% of all wickets to fall have been taken by the quicker bowlers. The last time these two sides met at the venue, 37 of the 39 non-run-out wickets were taken by the quicker bowlers. The data further suggests that expect a wicket that will be somewhere in between Johannesburg and Centurion. South Africa’s average score against India further has gone down to 223 in the last six years and that is a testament to the fact that Parimatch would hold control if the score only goes over 243. Hence, by shortening it, we can be on the higher side of the chain.
Here is my positive bet for the day. Even though South Africa have failed to score many runs, with none of their batters yet to score a century, they have scored enough boundaries in the process. They have hit an average of 31 fours per innings in the series, which included two from today’s limited batting show in Cape Town. Further, one more thing that catches the attention is how well punctuated those innings have been, as South Africa have scored 54.05% of runs through boundaries alone as compared to India’s 60.57%. Their ability to hit more boundaries is understandable from the fact that they have attacked more than their Indian counterparts and have left alone only 23.5% as compared to India’s 29.3%. South Africa have also lost a wicket in every 50.4 balls, indicative of the fact that this approach has yielded them more dividends. Hence, I would suggest you to go above the required market to ensure the target is met in the process.
Aiden Markram to score less
South Africa to score under 243.5
South Africa total fours over 28.5
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