Bihar is our predicted winner with a confidence level of 55.5%. They hold the edge due to their better team strength, which gives them a slight advantage over Uttar Pradesh.

The key battleground lies in the spin-friendly pitch at Jadavpur University Campus, Kolkata. Bihar has an edge in terms of boundary rate and six rate on this venue, with a higher average score of 149 runs per match. This could play to their strengths and give them a crucial boost.

Uttar Pradesh will have to contend with a moderate chase rate of 75%, which may not favor their batting lineup. The spin-friendly conditions might also hinder Uttar Pradesh's aggressive approach, giving Bihar the upper hand on this pitch.