This was a coin flip — we gave Karachi Kings a slight tip heading into the match. The teams met at the National Stadium in Karachi, under conditions where chasing teams have had a 61% success rate this season. Islamabad United won the crucial toss and elected to field first, aligning with the venue's historical trend of favouring the team opting to take the field 54% of the time.

Karachi Kings posted a total of 117 runs, all out in their allotted overs, losing seven wickets in the process. In response, Islamabad United showcased a dominant batting performance, reaching their target of 120 with four wickets in hand and 17 balls remaining. This victory was secured by six wickets, demonstrating their superiority on the day despite our prediction favouring Karachi Kings.

In retrospect, while it was a tightly contested match, Islamabad United's strategic field placements and disciplined bowling ultimately swung the momentum in their favour, leading to a well-earned victory against our prediction. Such close encounters highlight the fine margins that distinguish success from near misses in cricket.