Saurashtra are the favourites, with a confidence level of 95.8%. Their edge stems from their strong batting unit and experience in high-pressure situations.

The key battleground will be the spin-friendly pitch at Narendra Modi Stadium, where Saurashtra's team has a higher average score compared to Tamil Nadu (132.7 vs 127.4). This is crucial as both teams have struggled against spin bowling this season.

The chase rate at this venue averages 40.0%, which might not favor free-scoring teams. However, the pitch is expected to offer some help for spinners, potentially allowing the team batting first to put up a competitive total.