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Kerala vs Madhya Pradesh Prediction - Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

VHT
KER logo

KER

WINNER
VS
MP logo

MP

Narendra Modi Stadium

Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Kerala vs Madhya Pradesh Match Recap

Result Kerala won this match

Result: Kerala won by 2 wickets in a dramatic finish, chasing 256 with just 2 balls to spare. Our MP value pick did not land—Kerala's lower order held their nerve.

Match Summary

Madhya Pradesh 255/8 (50 overs) - Yash Dubey continued his outstanding form with 91, his third consecutive 90+ score this VHT. MP posted a competitive total but couldn't capitalise on the platform Dubey provided.

Kerala 257/8 (49.4 overs) - A thrilling chase that went down to the final over. Jalaj Saxena was Player of the Match with an all-round contribution. Kerala won with 2 wickets in hand and 2 balls remaining.

Key Performances

PlayerTeamPerformance
Jalaj SaxenaKERPOTM - all-round display
Yash DubeyMP91 - third consecutive 90+ score

Prediction Review

Our 60% confidence on MP did not convert. Yash Dubey delivered again (91), but Kerala's chase was clinical when it mattered. MP had Kerala at 8 down, but couldn't close it out. The game justified our close assessment—it came down to 2 wickets and 2 balls. MP's unbeaten run ends, while Kerala keep their knockout hopes alive.

Betting Outcome

We recommended MP at 1.86 with +6.2% edge. LOSS. The edge calculation was sound, but cricket variance struck again. A 2-wicket loss with 2 balls remaining shows how fine the margins are. MP remain a quality side—this was a deserved value bet that didn't land.

Win Probability

KER
MP

Venue Analysis

Toss Preference

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase

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