Rangpur Riders vs Chattogram Royals — Prediction Correct ✅

Pre-match analysis published on 29 December 2025:

Result: Rangpur Riders won by 7 wickets, chasing 103 in just 15 overs. Our prediction was correct—Rangpur's squad quality proved decisive.

Match Summary

Chattogram Royals 102/10 (17.5 overs) - A disastrous collapse. Naim Sheikh provided a rapid start with 39 off 20 balls, but once he fell, the innings imploded. Faheem Ashraf was devastating with 5/17 in 3.5 overs, ripping through the middle order. No other batter reached 15 as Chattogram were bowled out in under 18 overs.

Rangpur Riders 107/3 (15 overs) - A clinical chase. Openers Dawid Malan (51 off 48) and Litton Das (47 off 31) put on 91 for the first wicket, effectively ending the contest. Rangpur cruised home with 30 balls to spare, losing just three wickets.

Key Performances

Prediction Review

Our 55% confidence on Rangpur was validated. We correctly identified their squad depth as the deciding factor—Faheem Ashraf's 5-wicket haul and the Malan-Litton opening partnership were the difference. We overestimated Chattogram's Match 1 momentum and worried unnecessarily about Rangpur's cold start. The BCB ownership chaos we flagged did seem to affect Chattogram—their batting collapsed badly after a promising start.

Betting Outcome

We recommended SKIP for betting due to -6% edge on Rangpur at 1.64 odds. Correct call—while Rangpur won comfortably, the odds offered no value. Our prediction was right, but betting would have been -EV long-term at those prices.