Cricket match action
🇮🇳 VHT
Gujarat cricket team logo

GUJ

VS
Haryana cricket team logo

HAR

WINNER
KSCA Cricket Ground, Alur

Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Gujarat vs Haryana Match Recap

Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist

Result: Haryana won by 26 runs (299/10 vs 273/10)

Our Pick: Haryana @ 1.98 (+4.5% edge)

Outcome: Won (+0.49 units)

* 1 unit = 1% of bankroll


Pre-match analysis published on 29 December 2025:

Result: Gujarat won by 3 wickets in a thriller, chasing 226 with 3 balls to spare. Our Haryana value pick did not come through—Gujarat got their revenge.

Match Summary

Haryana 225 all out (49.4 overs) - Yashvardhan Dalal continued his form with 72, but Gujarat's bowlers restricted Haryana to a modest total. Arzan Nagwaswalla claimed 4 wickets to lead the Gujarat attack.

Gujarat 229/7 (49.3 overs) - A tense chase that went down to the wire. Vishal Jayswal was Player of the Match, though Gujarat's batting was a collective effort. They won with 3 balls remaining.

Key Performances

PlayerTeamPerformance
Vishal JayswalGUJPOTM - key contribution
Arzan NagwaswallaGUJ4 wickets
Yashvardhan DalalHAR72 - continued his form

Prediction Review

Our value pick on Haryana at 55% did not land. Gujarat extracted revenge for their Round 2 loss, winning a nail-biter. Dalal delivered again with 72, but Haryana's total of 225 was below par. Gujarat's bowling (Nagwaswalla 4 wickets) was the difference—they executed better under pressure. This was a close game that justified our 55-45 assessment.

Betting Outcome

We recommended Haryana at 1.98 with +4.5% edge. LOSS. The edge was real but variance went against us in a close game. Gujarat won by 3 wickets with 3 balls to spare—margins matter in cricket.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

GUJ
HAR

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase