Match prediction: New South Wales vs Victoria 19th match
New South Wales will host Victoria for the 19th match of the 2019-20 Sheffield Shield at the Sydney Cricket Ground, this Friday.
Two heavyweights colliding with each other at the Sydney Cricket Ground, what bigger can this get? Even though they are on either side of the points table, it’s still going to be an enthralling contest. To double the fun, I am going to show you three steps on how to make money from the match.
Below are six of the best bets from the match. Just red through my analysis and place the same bets at Royal Panda.
Expecting a century in the first innings by any player
Does it look a bit risky? Bet it does. But the returns are handsome and the stats which I have dug up will give you enough evidence to back the claim. In the last six matches, New South Wales batsmen have scored a total of five centuries in the first innings having scored at least one in five of those matches. Victoria, on the other hand, have scored three centuries in the first innings of the last five matches, which again hints that the outcome might turn out positive.
Meanwhile, while playing at home, New South Wales batsmen have scored a total of four tons in three matches, managing to register at least one in each of those matches. To inform you, a total of four centuries have been scored between these two teams and each of them were scored in their respective first innings, which gives us a huge boost ahead for this particular bet. The last time Victoria played a match at the SCG, two Victorians reached the triple figure mark in the first innings of the match and one of them was Peter Handscomb. I think you should definitely place this bet.
Victoria will score heavily from start
Even though the Victorians have faltered in initial stages of the Sheffield Shield, their opening pair has never let them down, which brings us to this bet which offers odds of 1.85 by Bet 365. In the last five matches, the openers have put on a total of 416 at an average of 83.2 runs per innings with stands of 72, 28, 18, 18, 220. As visible, three scores have been above 28 runs (one was exactly 28). In the last two away matches, the Victorians have put on scores of 18 and 72 respectively in the first innings.
In the last H2H match against New South Wales, Nic Maddinson and Marcus put on 72 runs on the board before the fall of the first wicket. Harris has played five matches this season and scored 289 runs at a rate of 48.16 runs while his partner has racked up 448 runs at an average of 74. 66 this season. It proves that both of them like to stick around for a while and so makes this a very safe bet, needing only 29 runs for both of them to score.
New South Wales’ score in five overs to be under 12.5
New South Wales might be placed at the top of the points table at the point, but the area where they have been a shade below their standard is the opening half an hour of their innings. Coming straight to the point, New South Wales have managed to put up just 46 runs overall in the first five overs of the six matches they have played in this season so far at an average of 7.6 runs per innings. The scores – 4, 2, 13, 12, 1, 14, as visible only two scored were above 12 runs, which suits our condition perfectly. With odds of 1.99, I am totally inclined to this bet.
Meanwhile, in the last two home matches, New South Wales scored 13 and 1 respectively in the first five overs, which definitely tells you a tale. Even in the last matches against Victoria, the New South Wales batsman managed to score just two runs in the first five overs. Nick Larkin sports a strike rate of 43.4 while Daniel Hughes scores at a rate of 48.20, which proves they start their innings on the slower side. This is a guaranteed bet which should not be ignored.
Moises Henriques to be shine the willow once again
A mainstay in the New South Wales batting order, the right hander has taken his game to a whole new level in this edition of the Sheffield Shield and we ought to back him for this bet. In the last five matches, Henriques has amassed a total of 361 runs at an average of 72.2 runs per first innings, with his scores being – 116, 0, 91, 30, 124. He was the top batsman for his side in two of the above mentioned occasions. But, there is another aspect which has prompted me to invest in this bet.
In the three matches that he has batted at the Sydney Cricket Ground in the first innings, his scores were – 116, 91, 124, having scored a monumental 331 runs at a rate of 110.3 per innings. He topped the batting in two of the above mentioned three occasions. Overall, Henriques is the highest run scorer for New South Wales this season, racking up 453 runs in 6 matches at an average of 56.62 which includes two centuries and a fifty (all scored at the SCG). I am pretty sure that you have placed the bet by now.
Peter Siddle to be the pick of the bowlers
The ferocious fast bowler has a lot left in him, even though he called it quits from the International stage. The way he has been delivering the goods for Victoria this season, his pick was a relatively easy one. In the last five innings, his figures are – 3/52, 3/30, 2/56, 2/23, 2/95, having taken a total of 12 wickets at a rate of 2.4 wickets per innings, which is pretty impressive for a 35-year old pacer. Even when playing away from home, Siddle manages to maintain a decent record, having scalped six wickets in the last three innings on the road.
Now, I am going to tell you the most vital stat, his head to head record against Victoria. In the last five innings in H2H matches, his figures are – 3/52, 3/35, 3/34, 5/28, 1/54 (three wicket per innings), having been the pick of the bowlers in two of those innings, that’s incredible, isn’t it? In this season, Siddle is the highest wicket taker among the Victorians, having scalped 18 wickets in the eight innings he bowled so far. I feel there’s no other option but to invest on this guaranteed bet.
Nic Maddinson is likely to score a fifty
What’s striking about his Maddinson’s batting is the consistency he maintains at the top of the order even when others would have perished in similar situations. His scores in the first innings of the last four matches – 59, 69, 37, 224, scoring a total of 339 runs at an average of 97.25 runs per innings which speaks volumes about the form he’s enjoying. As you have also observed, he has scored more than 50 runs in three of the above mentioned matches. But, there’s more I need to tell you before you actually place the bet.
In the last away match, Maddinson scored a 69-run innings, which also helps our cause. In the last H2H match against New South Wales, he managed to score yet another fifty (59) in their first innings of the match. Overall, he is the highest run scorer for Victoria having piled up 448 runs in five matches at an average of 74.66 runs per innings which includes a century and two half-tons. As per the stats he is likely to score a century and give us an opportunity to multiply our investment over three times.
