With the series locked at 1-1, South Africa and England will play the third and final T20I of the series at the SuperSport Park in Centurion, on Sunday.
The first two games were thriller, wasn’t it? After a one-run and then a two-run win in the first two games, the time has come for the winner to take it all in Centurion. The thrilling nature of the format and especially of the two teams has forced me to delve deep and find the possible money-making situations. I did find some great ones which would not only make your weekend, but give you enough incentives to spend happily for the rest of the following week.
He might be a very good Test batsman and an even better ODI batsman, but only a fool will sign off Quinton de Kock in a T20I match. Probably the best demonstration of his capabilities came in Durban yesterday when he not only smashed the English bowlers to smithereens but also brought South Africa agonisingly close to a memorable series victory. That, coupled with the fact the way he decimated the Englishmen in East London the previous game - a fine 31 off 15 balls - gives me confidence of an encore in Centurion. He has also enjoyed a glorious run of form against England in the T20Is, scoring at an average of 44.25 at a mammoth S/R of 188.29 so far, that attests to my belief that he can be South Africa’s top team batsman in the series deciding T20I in Centurion. Despite the SuperSport Park being one of South Africa’s regular venues, QDK has played only one match there - that too six years ago. In that one game alone, he scored 41, enough demonstration of things that lay ahead of Sunday Showdown.
70 in East London and 40 in Durban - Jason Roy has been on a spree now. While England broke the partnership between Jonny Bairstow and him, bringing Jos Buttler to open the innings, Roy has not been fazed at all, scoring runs as he has ever been. He has already scored 110 runs in the series - first a stroke-filled 70 at the Buffalo Park and then a solid 40 at the Kingsmead - to set up the base and you would know why I picked him ahead of the others. Roy, who averages a minuscule 25.08 in his T20I career, sees his runs per dismissal go up by almost 35%, setting to 35.10, against South Africa. In the last years too, Roy, who is an excellent ODI batsman by his own right, probably setting stage among the best in the world, has seen his T20I career spiked up after Alex Hales was jettisoned from the side. Roy’s average in the last two years has been above 43.00, which is 18.00 more than his career average. The man does everything when he is in form and trust the Surrey boy to deliver goods against his country of birth.
Three wickets in the first game, with an absolute thriller in the last over to help South Africa to a one-run win, and then another encore of devastating bowling display in Durban, Lungi Ngidi is doing everything that a dream spree basically has. That the team has Beuran Hendricks and Bjorn Fortuin as the other two front-line bowlers in the side, it is all the more apparent why Ngidi can be the man in Centurion. In his short international career, he has shown enough promise to be a consistent white-ball player, picking 17 wickets at an average of 12.11 in 9 T20Is he has played. In the two matches he has played against England, his six wickets helped South Africa big-time. That tells us enough about the importance of Ngidi to the team, especially at the SuperSport Park in Centurion, where the impact of pacers have been pretty good. So go ahead and put your money on what has been a successful series for Ngidi, and trust him to deliver once again to nearly quadruple your money.
South Africa predominantly have big hitters in their squad and this current batch is not an exception with playing in their own backyard helping them even further. In the last five T20I matches they played, the Proteas have hit more sixes than their opponents in four of the last five matches having hit a total of 39 sixes at a rate of almost eight sixes per match. On the other hand, England have had the upper hand in just two of their last five games, having struck a total of 50 sixes (10 per match) and conceding just a six less. Wait till I give you more vital facts.
While playing at home, South Africa have hit a total of 29 sixes in the last three matches at an average of almost six per innings and was the better team in each of those occasions. England, on the other hand, have struggled when playing in the rainbow nation, and have been outscored in four of the last five matches they played over here with a six count of 36 (7.2 runs per innings) and letting in as many as 49 sixes (almost 10 per innings) in the same time frame. There’s no other option but to invest on this particular bet with Dafabet offering odds of 2.48.
There has been a significant improvement in the top order for South Africa over the last few matches and it has been quite visible. And with the odds as high as 2.0 offered by Bet 365, we ought to take the opportunity. In the last five T20Is, South Africa have registered the better opening partnership in three games, having scored a total of 284 runs before the fall of first wicket at an average of 56.8 runs per innings. When playing at home, they have had the better start in four of the last five occasions and has scored at a rate of 41.4 runs per innings before the fall of the first wicket while letting in just 79 runs (15.8 runs per innings) on the contrary.
On the flip side, England have outscored for the opening stand in each of their last five T20I matches, having racked up a total of 87 runs at an average of 17.4 runs per innings and conceding 317 runs at a rate of 63.4 runs per innings. In the last five matches the Englishmen played in South Africa, the record has been similar, having scored just 104 runs overall at a rate of 20.8 runs on an average and shipped in a massive 466 runs (93.2 runs per innings), which includes two 100-run stands. This is a bet which is going to give you guaranteed returns.
England’s openers have not had the rub of the green in the recent past and trying out various combinations hasn’t made an iota of change. In the last five matches, their opening stands were – 17, 19, 8, 16, 27, having scored a total of 87 runs at an average of just 17.4 runs per innings. As visible, they have scored north of 24 runs in just one of the above mentioned occasions. In the last five T20Is they have played in South Africa, their opening stands were – 17, 19, 10, 38, 20 (104 runs at a rate of 20.8 runs per innings), having put up 25 or above in just one of the above instances.
In the last five head to head matches against South Africa, the Europeans have surpassed the 24-run mark for the opening stand just once, having scored at an average of 21.8 runs per innings). South Africa has historically struck early when playing at the Super Sports Park, in Centurion. In the last three matches, they have only allowed 1, 24 and 0 runs respectively before they scalped the first one. England have played only one T20I against South Africa at this venue, Joe Denly was the first man dismissed in that match when the score was 20. Just go for this unputdownable bet.