AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 4 match prediction 8 Jan 2022

Match date · 8 Jan 2022 · 05:00 IST
AUS vs ENG prediction
  • Bairstow averaged 24.44 in 2021 to go with 18.56 in 2020
  • Smith scores 76.4 runs at an average in Australian Test wins
  • England's last three batters have scored at an average of 8.33 in the last 20 years at Sydney
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AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 4 Predictions

Australia and England will continue to fight on the fourth day of the fourth Test in Sydney, with England looking to add as much to their tally after finding a late redemption.

Australia reduced England to 36/4 in the first session and clearly pinned them to the mat, but a valiant partnership between Ben Stokes and Jonny Bairstow turned things around for the Englishmen. Later, after Stokes’ dismissal, Mark Wood played the perfect foil to Bairstow to ensure England finish the day on a high. Day 4 will be the decisive factor in whichever way the game moves from here.

AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 4 Player Bet

Bairstow to score over 122.5 runs

Bairstow's return to form is one of the significant, if not the most, stories of the year for English cricket. They have got the hope of a draw from the most inopportune of the time possible only because of him but things can get murkier going forward. Bairstow suffered a nimble injury on Day 3 on his thigh and even though he could continue batting, it has affected his running severely. One may watch his century celebration and dictate otherwise but that is the fact. Also, Day 4 batting is one of the most difficult propositions in Sydney, as teams lose an average of 9 wickets on Day 4 in the last five years. Bairstow proceeded with the momentum today but it must be noted that Bairstow averaged 24.44 in 2021 to go with 18.56 in 2020. On Day 4, he has a false shot percentage of 35% which is on the extremely higher-end whose claim to fame was the Test format in 2017. In simpler words, he simply hasn’t been reliable. Further, Wood's dismissal and Robinson's absence have ensured no support from the other end, which may dictate the course of the game. He would take risks and that comes with its own caveat. Hence, in my opinion, we can short the bet here to win big on Parimatch.

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Smith to be Australia's top batter in second innings

Well, well, well. For all Usman Khawaja's brilliance in the first innings, Steve Smith is a definite pick to dominate the call in the second round once again. Needless to say, he averages 60.9 in Test cricket with 60 fifty-plus scores and is particularly effective against pacers against whom he averages 65.78. But if you think Jack Leach can have any impact on him, then remind you that his average against spinners is 58.78. When Australia win a Test match, Smith invariably has a role to play in it, scoring 76.4 runs at an average as compared to 30.58 in losses. Sure this is a byproduct than design, but Smith's heroics in the first innings, where he first set up the base after England landed an early blow told you everything you need to know about Smith's heroics. If the Test moves along the way it is now, then in all probability, Smith will bat in the third session of the Day where he averages 88 as compared to his first session average of 58.23 and 2nd session average of 47.8. Hence, back him to break all records and force his way to dominance once again. You can benefit from this arrangement by placing your bets on Parimatch.

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AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 4 Team Bets

England first innings total under 301.5

Here is another bet to win over a solid deal of cash. England have scored 258/7 with Bairstow and Leach in the middle. While one can bank on Wood to be an accomplice, Leach, despite his knock against Ireland and against Australia in the 2019 Ashes, is simply not the most ideal choice. Hence, what would you do? Back England to score under 301. Yes. I will tell you further. England's last three batters have scored at an average of 9.5 since landing in Australia and it has been partly bolstered by the presence of Ollie Robinson. However, Robinson is not playing this Test. In Sydney, historically, England's last three batters have scored at an average of 8.33 in the last 20 years. With Day 4 being one of the toughest days to bat at the venue, it is a writing on the wall on which direction the game would go from here. Go and bet on this market to take home some solid cash bundles.

My Picks:

Bairstow to score over 122.5 runs @ 1.90 (Parimatch)

Smith to be Australia’s top batter in second innings @ 3.50 (Parimatch)

England first innings total under 301.5 @ 1.87 (Parimatch)

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