AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 3 match prediction 7 Jan 2022

AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 3 Predictions

Australia have found themselves at a dominating position in the fourth Test after posting 416/8 in the first innings and England would be searching for answers with their batters underperforming for the majority of the series.

Usman Khawaja found form after being sidelined for two years as he scored a fluent century to help Australia navigate through the chartered waters. He first partnered with Steve Smith who looked a part. Smith’s dismissal could have changed the complexion of the game. But it didn't and dispute Stuart Broad picking a fifer, Australia are at the pole position. It is that advantage that will keep Australia at an advantage going into the Day 3 of the ongoing Ashes encounter.

AUS vs ENG 4th Test Day 3 Player Bet

Joe Root to be England's top scorer

There is so much riding on Joe Root as far as England's overall performance is concerned. None of the other batters, apart from Root and to an extent Dawid Malan, has been able to consistently manage to outscore their Aussie counterparts. Root had an excellent 2021, where he scored 1708 runs - the second-most for a batter in Test cricket in a year after Mohammed Yousuf. If a Test average of 49.90 doesn't tell you why you need to back Joe Root, here is another reminder. He averages 56.33 in the first team innings and 68.27 in the second match innings - the exact situation currently. It is not a bet to determine how much he would score in isolation but rather about him being the top score in the innings. As a matter of fact, he is the top scorer of the innings in a staggering 78% of the time in 2021 alone, and hence, it is pretty much clear why I would want to go for Root as England's top scorer once again. You can be benefitted from the same as well by placing your bet on Parimatch.

AUS vs ENG 4th Test Match Bets

England total fours less than 24.5

England have a boundary percentage of 47.29% in the ongoing 2021-22 Ashes and the batters have played at a strike rate of 42.3. They have yielded 18.8 runs per wicket and have taken 44.3 balls per dismissal. In six innings preceded to this, they have hit a total of 127 fours, which averages down to 21 per innings. That doesn't paint a rosy picture, does it? Further, England have batters whose form has been on a nosedive and there is no great contribution from the lower order either after Ollie Robinson has taken leave due to a shoulder niggle. Another aspect of England's batting that lays bare the problem - England have a dot ball percentage of 80.6% and a false stroke percentage of 22.2%, making sure there is nothing that would add to it. All sorts of data suggest that England are not going to attain that magic figure, hence it is advisable to stay under par to reap the benefits.

England total before dismissal #1. Innings #1 below 28.5

Here is another conservative bet that would act as a great wealth creator. England have scored at an average of 12.8 for the opening stand in the ongoing series as compared to 47.6 by the Aussies. England openers have a control percentage of 72.7% - a damning indictment of the fact that is even lesser than what Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, and Nathan Lyon have in the series. Another significant aspect that tells about their confusion is their leave percentage of 30.6% and beat ratio of 8.5%. Currently, England have scored 13 runs for the opening stand with Zak Crawley and Haseeb Hameed batting in the middle but they can consider themselves lucky given Mitch Starc overstepped when Crawley was already out. As the data suggests, there is a great possibility that England wouldn't be able to add much to their tally before losing their first wicket on Friday. Hence go to Parimatch and make sure that you have your money handy after that.

My Picks:

Joe Root to be England’s top scorer @ 2.00 (Parimatch)

England total fours less than 24.5 @ 1.83 (Parimatch)

England total before dismissal #1. Innings #1 below 28.5 @ 1.87 (Parimatch)