LKA vs ENG 1st Test Day 1 match prediction 14 Jan 2021

ICC World Test Championship
Match date • 14 Jan 2021 • 10:00 IST

Sri Lanka vs England 1st Test | Team Bets to win you Money

Sri Lanka will be playing against England in their 1st Test of a two-match series at the Galle International Stadium in Galle, Sri Lanka on 14th January, Thursday.

We are in the last leg of the World Test Championship, and since at least 5 tours had to be cancelled because of the pandemic, the results are going to be decided by PCT which is the percentage of points scored by the teams. The English team are currently in 4th position, with 60.8% points to their favour. Even if they go on to win all the matches in the two series left for them, they would reach 73.88% points, which is Australia's current PCT. So for England to win the World Test Championship, Australia would have to lose against India, and England will have to win all matches henceforth. The possibility of this happening is very slim, but the English team can definitely vie for the 2nd or 3rd spot. SriLanka, on the other hand, is out of the running for the top 3 and is in 7th place, above only West Indies and Bangladesh. As the match approaches, I have picked the top 3 bets from the game that have the highest chances for winning.

England to Win

I want to start with one of the easier bets in the match. If we look at the two teams’ forms coming into the match, Sri Lanka has lost 3 matches out of the last 5 Test Matches they have played, they drew 1 and won 1. England, on the other hand, have won 3 matches, and drew 2 in their last 5 games. A common point of comparison for the teams is their tours to South Africa, which both teams played in 2020. While Sri Lanka wasn't able to win a single game out of the 3 Test matches they played in the tour, England went to win 3 out of 4 games in the tournament. The final reason why I am recommending this bet is, though Sri Lanka are pretty strong in their home arena, England had defeated Sri Lanka with a 3-0 lead the last time they played in Sri Lanka, including the match they played at Galle, which was won by England with a massive 211 runs. The cherry on the cream for the bet is, Bet365.com is offering odds of 2.35 for England to win, where a draw is considered as no bet.

England to hit most Match 6’s

I have a winning bet for you that will let you double your money. In the last 5 matches by the two teams, they have both hit sixes at similar averages. Sri Lanka has hit a total of 20 sixes, at an average of 4.0 sixes per match. England has hit a total of 19 sixes, from the games, which is an average of 3.8. This might seem in favour of Sri Lanka until we look at the number of 6’s conceded by the teams in the 5 matches. While England has conceded only 7 sixes from the 5 matches at an average of 1.40, Sri Lanka, on the other hand, has conceded 28 sixes from the 5 matches, which is an average of 5.60. That means Sri Lanka has conceded 4 times the number of sixes as compared to England, which is such a big difference between the teams. If we look at the last time they played against each other, in the 3 match series England hit 27 sixes (3, 12, 12), while Sri Lanka managed to hit only 7 sixes (2, 1, 4) against England in the series, and this was held in Sri Lanka. England managed to hit more sixes in all the three matches the last time these teams faced and all they need is to repeat their performance in this series. Bet365.com yet again have offered odds of 2.00 for England to be the team to hit the most match sixes.

Sri Lanka to win the Highest Opening Partnership

This bet is a bet to go for if you want a safe bet from the market and I am about to show that to you conclusively. In the last 5 matches played by Sri Lanka, they have racked up a total of 201 runs in their 1st innings at an average of 40.2. While England was only able to get a total of 46 runs from their opening partnerships at a measly average of 9.2. Both the teams have conceded more runs from their opponents' opening partnerships than they have scored in their own. While this is very congruent with our bet, I have another intriguing fact that is very convincing for this bet. The last time Joe Root led England won against Sri Lanka in every match of the tournament, but they also scored less than Sri Lanka in their opening partnerships in every match in both the innings. If we look at England's performance in their previous tournament Lanka, they scored a total of 38 runs(22, 12, 4) from their opening partnerships in the 1st innings. That's an average of 12.33 from the 3 games. Sri Lanka managed 63 runs( 31, 22, 10) from their opening partnerships in the 1st innings, at an average of 21.0 from the 3 games. Not only that, Sri Lanka had higher opening partnerships in all the innings in all the matches.

My Picks:

England to win (Draw no bet) - @2.35 (Bet365.com)

England to hit the most match sixes - @2.00 (Bet365.com)

Sri Lanka to be the team with the Highest score at 1st dismissal - @1.93 (Sportsbet.io.com)

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