Jharkhand vs Rajasthan Prediction - Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Result: Jharkhand won by 73 runs. JHK 301/10 (50 ov) vs RAJ 228/10 (50 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: Jharkhand 68% | Rajasthan 32%

Value Bet: Jharkhand @ 1.70 (+9.2% edge) → Won +₹70

Match Summary

Jharkhand batted first. 301 all out in 50 overs. A strong total, but here's the twist: Ishan Kishan did not play. The BCCI advised him to rest ahead of the T20 World Cup. His absence could have derailed Jharkhand—it didn't.

Shikhar Mohan stepped up magnificently: 129 off 118 balls—Player of the Match. Anukul Roy added 52 off 43 balls in the lower order. Jharkhand's batting depth delivered without their talisman.

Rajasthan's chase was typical of their tournament. Karan Lamba scored a fighting 102 off 110 balls—the lone warrior. But around him, wickets fell regularly. Shubham Singh was brilliant with the ball: 6/50 in 10 overs. Khaleel Ahmed (4/49) tried to drag Rajasthan back but couldn't. All out for 228. Jharkhand win by 73 runs.

Analysis Review

Validated: Jharkhand's batting depth. Predicted they had firepower beyond Ishan Kishan. With Kishan rested, Shikhar Mohan (129) proved the assessment correct. Squad depth matters in List A cricket.

Validated: Rajasthan's batting fragility. Predicted they would struggle. Only Karan Lamba (102) delivered. The rest of the lineup failed—exactly as anticipated.

Validated: Jharkhand's bowling improvement. Flagged as the risk factor after leaking 413 in Round 1. This time: Shubham Singh (6/50), a complete transformation. The bowling held.

Underweighted: Ishan Kishan's absence. Pre-match research did not flag his potential rest. The BCCI directive came on match day. Jharkhand won regardless, but this was a risk not accounted for.

Betting Outcome

Jharkhand took the win. The 9.2% edge converted. At odds of 1.70, this returned +₹70 profit on a ₹100 stake. A clean value bet win.

The prediction held despite Ishan Kishan's absence—validation of the squad depth thesis. Shikhar Mohan's 129 was the difference.