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🇮🇳 VHT
Hyderabad cricket team logo

HYD

VS
Vidarbha cricket team logo

VID

WINNER
Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot

Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Hyderabad vs Vidarbha Match Recap

Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist

Result: Vidarbha won by 89 runs. VID 365/5 vs HYD 276/10.

Our Bet: Vidarbha @ 1.62 — Won


Result: Vidarbha won by 89 runs. VID 365/5 (50 ov) vs HYD 276/10 (49.2 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: Vidarbha 62% | Hyderabad 38%

Value Bet: Vidarbha @ 1.62 (+0.3% edge) → Won

Match Summary

Vidarbha batted first. 365/5 in 50 overs. A massive total built on yet another century from Dhruv Shorey—his fifth consecutive List A hundred. Shorey's 109* off 77 balls (9 fours, 6 sixes) equals N Jagadeesan's record for most consecutive List A centuries.

The foundation came from a 148-run opening stand between Aman Mokhade (82) and Yash Rathod (68). After the openers departed, Shorey accelerated with R. Samarth (63 off 46) in a 140-run partnership off just 95 balls.

Hyderabad's chase never gained traction. Aelgani Varun Goud (85) fought hard, but captain Harsh Dubey (3/39) led a disciplined bowling effort. All out for 276 in 49.2 overs. Vidarbha's 89-run victory was comprehensive.

Analysis Review

Validated: Vidarbha's batting dominance was the core thesis. Shorey (136 in Round 1) and Mokhade (110 in Round 1) were identified as the key advantage. Both delivered again—Mokhade 82, Shorey 109*. The opening partnership quality was correctly assessed.

Validated: Hyderabad's batting fragility. Predicted they would struggle against quality bowling. Despite Varun Goud's 85, the rest of the lineup collapsed—validating concerns about depth beyond Tilak Varma.

Validated: Vidarbha's bowling improvement. Flagged in the pre-match that they "needed to tighten up" after leaking 383 to Bengal. They responded: 276/10 conceded, Dubey 3/39. Adjustment made.

Outcome

Bet won. 0.5 units profit on Vidarbha at 1.62 odds. This bet was placed before we introduced the 2% minimum edge threshold. Edge was only +0.3%—under current rules this would be a SKIP, but it converted.

Dhruv Shorey's extraordinary run of form (5 consecutive hundreds) continues to be the story of VHT 2025-26.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

HYD
VID

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