Andhra vs Railways Match Recap

Result: Andhra won by 6 wickets. RLYS 266/9 (50 ov) vs AND 271/4 (44.4 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: Railways 55% | Andhra 45%

No Bet: Edge was -0.5% (below 2% threshold). Prediction incorrect.

Match Summary

Railways batted first. 266/9 in 50 overs. Ravi Singh (76) couldn't replicate his Round 1 century but still top-scored. Ansh Yadav (59) and Zubair Ali (48) provided support. Andhra's bowlers were disciplined: Satyanarayana Raju (3/41) and Narasimha Raju (3/68) shared 6 wickets.

Andhra's chase was composed. Ricky Bhui (76)—mentioned in the pre-match as "experienced domestic bat"—anchored the innings. Captain Nitish Kumar Reddy remained unbeaten on 55*, with Hemanth Reddy (41*) finishing the job. Chase completed in 44.4 overs with 6 wickets in hand and 32 balls to spare.

Analysis Review

Validated: The "coin-flip" assessment. Called this 55-45. A 45% outcome occurred. That's within expected variance for close matches.

Overestimated: Railways' form. Gave them the edge based on Round 1 momentum and Ravi Singh's century. But Ravi Singh couldn't convert again (76 vs 109*). One-match form is volatile.

Underweighted: Nitish Kumar Reddy's impact. Mentioned him as "star power" but didn't factor his match-winning potential. He delivered 55* in a pressure chase—exactly what India internationals do.

Underweighted: Andhra's bowling. Flagged their "bowling struggles" as a concern. They took 9/266—disciplined and effective. Satyanarayana Raju (3/41) and Narasimha Raju (3/68) weren't on the radar.

Outcome

No bet placed. Edge was -0.5%—below the 2% minimum threshold. The prediction was wrong, but the SKIP protected the bankroll. At 55% confidence on a coin-flip match, losing is expected variance. No money lost. Discipline rewarded.