Puducherry vs Tripura Prediction - Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Result: Tripura won by 7 wickets. PUD 150/10 (41.3 ov) vs TRI 151/3 (32.3 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: Puducherry 58% | Tripura 42%

No Bet: Edge was -1.0% (below 2% threshold). Prediction incorrect.

Match Summary

Puducherry batted first. 150 all out in 41.3 overs. A dismal effort. Jayant Yadav (51) was the only resistance. The rest of the lineup crumbled. Viki Saha—Player of the Match for Tripura—took 3/23 with his medium pace.

Tripura's chase was comfortable. Udiyan Bose (53) anchored with a half-century, and Vijay Shankar (47*) finished the job. Chase completed in 32.3 overs with 7 wickets in hand. A comprehensive win.

Analysis Review

Overestimated: Puducherry's "competitive" display in Round 1. Gave them credit for scoring 209 vs TN. But 209 vs 310 is still a 101-run hammering. Round 1 didn't indicate any batting strength—it showed weakness. Confirmation bias.

Overestimated: The "margin of loss" logic. Argued Puducherry's 101-run loss was "better" than Tripura's 145-run loss. Both were heavy defeats. The difference was meaningless. Bad logic.

Underweighted: Tripura's bowling. Dismissed them for "leaking 348" vs Kerala. But Kerala had Aparajith (5/15) and a stacked lineup. Tripura's bowling—Viki Saha (3/23)—was effective against weaker opposition like Puducherry.

Underweighted: Vijay Shankar. Former India international in Tripura's squad. His 47* was match-winning. International experience matters in low-quality matches.

Outcome

No bet placed. Edge was -1.0%—below the 2% minimum threshold. The prediction was wrong, but the SKIP protected the bankroll. Lesson: When analysing bottom-tier teams, margin of Round 1 loss is not predictive. Both teams were bad—the coin landed on Tripura.