The second semi-final of the Women's Big Bash League 2020 will be fought between Brisbane Heat Women and Sydney Thunder Women at the North Sydney Oval in Sydney on Thursday the 26th of November.
As these teams face each other in the semi-final the heat has been turned right up. With two teams so equal, anything can happen. Brisbane Heat Women had easily defeated Sydney Thunder Women, in the previous match, with eight wickets in hand and over 3 overs left. Will Brisbane Heat Women be able to replicate the feat, or is there going to be a comeback from the Sydney Thunder Women, we are about to find this out this Thursday. The two teams consist of well-rounded proponents, with batsmen like Heather Knight, Tammy Beaumont, and Sammy Johnson for Thunder Women and Grace Harris, Georgia Redmayne, and Jess Jonassen for Heat Women, this is already looking like a tough fight. I have collated the statistics and picked the best team bets for you, so that no matter the result, you come out of the match rich.
This is a tough one to call, but as I often tell people, when faced with a conundrum, just turn to the statistics. The statistics of these odds are simple. In this season, out of the 10 complete matches played by Brisbane Heat Women, they scored a total of 24 sixes with an average of 2.4 sixes per match. Sydney Thunder Women scored a total of 20 sixes from 11 matches, with an average of 1.8 sixes. We further see the last 5 matches played by the teams and the number of sixes hit is as follows:
Brisbane Heat Women:0, 3, 3, 2, 0
Sydney Thunder Women:0, 1, 0, 3, 0
The average for Brisbane Heat Women in the last five matches comes out to 1.6 sixes while the average for the Sydney Thunder Women comes to 0.8 sixes, which is half the average of Heat Women. 10cric.com has offered odds of 2.15 for Brisbane Heat to score more Match Sixes and with odds like that, you stand to make a lot of money.
If there was something close to a sure thing in this match, this bet is the closest thing to it. I checked the statistics of the last 5 matches the teams played in this season, for you and the opening partnerships for both teams were as follows:
Brisbane Heat Women: 13, 16, 5, 11 ,86
Sydney Thunder Women: 20, 44, 3, 31, 3
In 10 innings these teams have had a score higher than 21.5 thrice. This gives us odds of 7 out of 10 which are good odds, but not a sure thing. I went further and found how much these teams scored in opening partnerships when they came out to bat first since the first wicket of the match is going to be taken from that team. The opening partnerships for the teams when they came to bat first in the season, are as follows:
Brisbane Heat Women: 13, 13, 1
Sydney Thunder Women:12, 6, 7, 16, 6
Brisbane Heat Women have come out to bat first thrice and have never scored over 21.5 runs in the situation, Sydney Thunder Women have come out to bat first 5 times and they have not been able to manage to score over 21.5 even once either. 10cric.com has offered odds of 1.83 and I have already put all my money on this bet.
I have often commented on the fact that the total number of 6's hit in the Women's Big Bash League is quite low, these two teams are the perfect examples of that idiom. While both the teams manage to get some sixes in, in almost all their matches the total number of sixes hit by the teams is quite low. The teams have hit a combined total of 44 sixes from 21 innings, with an average of 2.1 sixes per innings or 4.2 sixes per match, but if we look at their totals in their recent matches we realize that the average might be misleading. The total number of sixes for the teams in their last five matches of the season is as follows:
Brisbane Heat Women: 2(0) 6(3) 7(3), 3(2), 1(0)
Sydney Thunder Women:1(0), 3(1),5(0), 4(3), 1(0)
()The number in the bracket is 6's hit by the team.
As we mentioned earlier that is a meager average of 1.6 sixes for Brisbane Heat Women and 0.8 sixes for Sydney Thunder Women, totaling 2.4 sixes per match or half the number from the odds. If we add to this, the fact that these teams consist of four of the fiercest bowlers in the team and we can safely bet on the total number of sixes to be under 4.5. Royal Panda is offering odds of 1.80 for this and I cannot wait to win that money.
My Picks:
Brisbane Heat Women to score the Most 6's - @ 2.15 (10cric.com)
Fall of the first wicket to be under 21.5 runs - @ 1.83 (10cric.com)
Total Sixes to be under 4.5 - @ 1.80 (Royalpanda.com)
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