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Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars match prediction 32nd match

Match date · 7 Jan 2021 · 15:50 IST
HEA vs STA prediction
  • Melbourne Stars hit 11 more sixes than the Heat despite having played 1 less game than them.
  • Brisbane Heat have scored fours at a higher rate and conceded fours at a lower rate than the Stars.
  • Stars hit 14 sixes alone, in their last match at the Carrara Oval.
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Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars | Bets to Win Big

The 32nd match of the Big Bash League will take place between Brisbane Heat and Melbourne Stars at the Carrara Oval also known as the Metricon Stadium in Queensland on Thursday, the January 7.

Melbourne Stars and Brisbane Heat faced each other in the 2nd match of the tournament, and Brisbane Heat was defeated resoundingly, where the Stars let them score only 125 runs and then proceeded to score 129 runs with 17 balls and six wickets to spare. The Stars have been pretty average throughout the season though and are currently placed 5th on the table and they would be looking to turn that around. The Heat would be looking for retribution from the match and while they are at the same number of wins as the Stars, 3 wins, the Stars have an extra two points through an abandoned match and thus, are above the Heat in the standings. The Stars have tremendous batting power in their lineup while the Heat has been commanding the games through their bowling prowess. I have picked out the top team bets for you from the match to get you winning from the game.

Melbourne Stars to hit more Match 6's

I have a bet here that will allow you to double your money! This is a frontier where Melbourne Stars have an obvious advantage over Brisbane Heat. In their matches this season the number of sixes hit by the two teams in the matches paint a very clear picture of why I am asking you to go for this market. While Brisbane Heat - 7, 5, 3, 9, 3, 10, 4 - have managed to hit a total of 41 sixes in their seven games, Melbourne Stars - 11, 6, 10, 14, 5, 6 - have exceeded that with 52 in one less game. For anyone who is not great with quick calculations, that's an average of 5.86 for the Heat and 8.67 for the Stars. Even in their last match, the Stars managed to stay above the Heat in the number of sixes, where they hit 6 sixes while the Heat managed to hit only 4. While this is the first match for Brisbane Heat playing at the Carrara Oval, a place where teams have struggled to clear the fence too often, this campaign, Melbourne Stars hit a whopping 14 big ones in the only match they have played at the venue this season. With hard hitters like Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, and Marcus Stoinis playing for Melbourne Stars, this bet is a definite winner. Sportsbet.io is offering odds of 1.95 for Melbourne Stars to hit the most match sixes and you should take it while you have the chance.

Brisbane Heat to hit the more Match 4's

The second one that I have here will allow you to double your money! Both Melbourne Stars and Brisbane Heat have pretty aggressive batting styles, but there is no doubt that while the Stars are focused on the Sixes, Brisbane Heat is playing it safer and hitting more fours this season. In the 7 matches played by the Heat this season, they have hit a total of 84 fours (16, 11, 13, 8, 16, 12, 8) which is an average of 12.0 fours per match. In contrast, Melbourne Stars have managed to hit 65 fours (14, 11, 9, 11, 11, 9) from their six matches at an average of 10.83 per match. The interesting thing to note here is that while Brisbane Heat is scoring fours at an average of 12.0, Melbourne Stars have only managed to hit more than 12 fours in one match. Not only are Brisbane Heat hitting fours at a higher rate than the Stars, but they have also been conceding fours at a lower rate than Melbourne Stars, the Heat have conceded 86 fours from 7 matches at an average of 12.29, while Melbourne Stars have conceded 79 fours from their 6 matches at a rate of 13.17. The cherry on the cake is that LeoVegas has offered odds of 2.20 for Brisbane Heat to hit most match 4's.

Total match 6's to be over 11.5

The final winning bet that I have identified again revolves around boundaries - the big ones. In this season the teams have been hitting sixes on demand. I mentioned previously how in the only match the Stars have played at the Carrara Oval in this season, they hit 14 sixes! I showed you previously that the two teams averaged at 5.86 and 8.67 sixes per match for Brisbane Heat and Melbourne Stars respectively, that is a total of 14.53 expected sixes in the match. This pattern is repeated if we look at how many sixes the teams conceded on an average. Melbourne Stars have conceded a total of 46 sixes from 6 games at an average of 7.66 and Brisbane Heat have conceded a total of 37 sixes from 7 games at an average of 5.29, and while both the teams conceded fewer sixes than they hit, this still is would be an average of 12.95 sixes conceded which is over the required target. Royal Panda has offered odds of 1.81 for the total match sixes to be over 11.5 and I have already placed the bet.

My Picks

Melbourne Stars to hit the most Match 6's - @1.95(Sportsbet.io)

Brisbane Heat to hit the most Match 4's - @2.20 (LeoVegas.com)

Total match 6's to be over 11.5 - @1.81 (RoyalPanda.com)

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