The 53rd match of the Big Bash League will take place between Sydney Sixers and Melbourne Stars at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG) in Melbourne on Sunday, the 26th of January.
The last match of the group stages this season will be held between the top contender on the tables, Sydney Sixers and the Stars, who are in the penultimate position in the table and will not be qualifying this season, no matter the result. The Stars lost to Sixers in Carrara Oval on Boxing Day. The Sixers have now beat the Stars in the last 4 matchups between the teams and have won against every team in the season, except the Hurricanes, at least once. They are the favourites to win against the Stars in the match in Melbourne, and have won 3 of the previous 7 matches in the ground. While this match will not decide who will be in the qualifiers, you can still make a lot of money from the match, and I have picked the top bets in the market for that explicit reason.
I want to start with the obvious bet for an inconsistent performer from the Sydney Sixers. The English Batsman has played 229 innings in his career, and he has scored a total of 6109 runs from the matches, at an average of 29.66. His performance in the season has been somewhat dismal, with a total of 209 runs in his last 10 games, at an average of 23.22, he has been able to score over 21.5 runs in only 3 of the last 10 games and got bowled on a duck in two games including his game against the Stars where he was caught on his 2nd ball, without scoring a single run. In fact, from the last 5 games against the Stars, he has scored a total of only 36 runs (0, 2, 12, 16, 6) at an average of 7.20, where he hasn't been able to score over the target even once. He has pretty poor play even at the MCG, where he has scored 95 runs from 5 games, with an average of 19.0 and the only game he played there in this season, got him only 5 runs. Sportsbet.io is offering odds of 1.85 for James Vince to score under 21.5 runs, and you should make this bet now.
Glenn Maxwell is a phenomenal batsman who has been with the Stars for 9 seasons. He has scored 6519 runs in his career from 280 innings, at an average of 27.05. He has had some outstanding performances in the season but has not been consistent at all with his piece of willow. While he has scored 313 runs in the season, with an average of 28.45, he has got out on a duck thrice in the season and overall has had a pretty low scoring season. Marcus Stoinis has scored 384 runs from his 12 matches, at an average of 34.91, and in the 10 matches that both the players have come out to bat, Stoinis has scored more than his skipper in 7 of the 10 matches. While Stoinis was unavailable in the previous match against the Sixers, Even in the last 5 matches played by the players against the Sixers, Maxwell has scored a total of 119 runs (82,5, 12, 15, 5) at an average of 23.80, While Stoinis scored a total of 258 runs( 34, 147, 62, 5, 10) with an average of 51.40, where he scored more than Maxwell in 3 out of the 5 games. Even if we look at the records on the pitch, Stoinis has scored 811 runs from 29 innings, while Maxwell has scored 885 runs with 38 innings, scoring only 74 runs more even with 9 more innings! Bet365.com has offered odds of 1.72 for Stoinis to score more than Maxwell.
The two teams have definitely been hitting boundaries in this season. If we look at the current season the stars have hit 80 sixes from their 11 games at an average of 7.27 and the Sixers have hit 56 sixes from their 12 complete games at an average of 4.67, which gives us a combined average of 11.94. In the last 5 head to head games between the teams, the total number of match sixes was 69 (26, 10, 1, 15, 17), at an average of 13.8! This is definitely an average we can put our money on. Even if we look at the teams play at MCG this season Melbourne Stars hit a total of 17 sixes in the three matches at an average of 5.66, and Sydney Sixers hit 7 Sixes in their only game at MCG this season. Bet365 has offered the best odds of 1.83 for Total Match 6's to be over 8.5, and this is the best bet in the market.
James Vince to score under 21.5 runs - @1.85(Sportsbet.io)
Batsman Matches (Most Runs) Marcus Stoinis to score more than Glenn Maxwell - @1.72 (Bet365.com)
Total Match Sixes to be over 8.5 - @1.83 (Bet365.com)