Toss Prediction Today: What Will the Toss Winner Choose?
Our toss prediction today calls what the toss winner is likely to choose, bat or bowl first, for upcoming T20s. Nobody can predict the coin itself; it is 50/50. Our model's calls come with their chance, the facts for and against, and the toss time in IST. In men's T20s, 61.4% of toss winners chose to bowl first.
By CricketPrediction.com · · Board updated 18:20 IST
Our record · new model, since 24 Sep: 7 of 16 right · always bowl first: 10
Earlier calls, 5–24 Sep: 75 of 133 right · always bowl first: 75 · Every graded call → · Telegram →
Today Match Toss Predictions
T20s starting in the next 36 hours, men's and women's, with results from the last 12; tap a card for details.
Today, Fri 2 Oct
KNG vs TTN 
- 6 of 10 bowled first this tournament (points to bowling first)
- Night game · dry air
If KNG win the toss: bowl 63% · if TTN win it: bowl 63%
Toss ≈ 21:00 IST · starts 18:00 local · 17°C · humidity 61% · clear skies
LIO vs NWD 
- 31 of 42 bowled first here (points to bowling first)
- 6 of 10 bowled first this tournament (points to bowling first)
- Night game · dry air
If LIO win the toss: bowl 64% · if NWD win it: bowl 64%
Toss ≈ 21:00 IST · starts 18:00 local · 15°C · humidity 61% · clear skies
Tomorrow Toss Predictions, Sat 3 Oct
BAN vs SL 
- 5 of 6 batted first here (points to batting first)
- 4 of 7 bowled first this tournament (points to bowling first)
- BAN bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- SL bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
If BAN win the toss: bat 52% · if SL win it: bat 50%
Toss ≈ 05:00 IST · starts 09:00 local · 20°C · humidity 65% · clear skies
- 11 of 14 batted first here (points to batting first)
- SKR split 5–5
- IDN bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
- Chasers won 3 of 14 here (points to batting first)
If SKR win the toss: bat 68% · if IDN win it: bat 65%
Toss ≈ 06:00 IST · starts 10:00 local
- 12 of 22 bowled first here (points to bowling first)
- MLYW batted 6 of last 10 (points to batting first)
- WSMW bowled 5 of last 9 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
- Chasers won 15 of 21 here (points to bowling first)
If MLYW win the toss: bat 65% · if WSMW win it: bat 59%
Toss ≈ 07:00 IST · starts 10:00 local
PAK vs IND 
- 5 of 6 batted first here (points to batting first)
- 4 of 7 bowled first this tournament (points to bowling first)
- PAK split 5–5
- IND bowled 6 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
If PAK win the toss: bat 58% · if IND win it: bat 53%
Toss ≈ 09:30 IST · starts 13:30 local · 25°C · humidity 55% · clear skies
ZIM-W vs WI-W 
- 5 of 6 batted first here (points to batting first)
- ZIM-W bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- WI-W bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
Toss ≈ 16:00 IST · starts 13:00 local
- 66 of 87 bowled first here (points to bowling first)
- Afternoon game · no dew (points to batting first)
- Chasers won 51 of 84 here (points to bowling first)
If INDCH win the toss: bowl 56% · if AUSCH win it: bowl 56%
Toss ≈ 16:30 IST · starts 15:30 local · 37°C · humidity 39% · clear skies
- 66 of 87 bowled first here (points to bowling first)
- Night game · dry air
- Chasers won 51 of 84 here (points to bowling first)
If PAKCH win the toss: bowl 73% · if BANCH win it: bowl 73%
Toss ≈ 20:30 IST · starts 19:30 local · 34°C · humidity 57% · clear skies
Sunday, 4 Oct
- 11 of 14 batted first here (points to batting first)
- SKR split 5–5
- IDN bowled 7 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
- Chasers won 3 of 14 here (points to batting first)
If SKR win the toss: bat 68% · if IDN win it: bat 65%
Toss ≈ 06:00 IST · starts 10:00 local
- IDNW bowled 6 of last 10 (points to bowling first)
- WSMW bowled 5 of last 9 (points to bowling first)
- Day game · no dew (points to batting first)
If IDNW win the toss: bat 58% · if WSMW win it: bat 58%
Toss ≈ 07:30 IST · starts 10:30 local
Already Tossed: Called or Missed
We cover T20 fixtures only, from 12 hours ago to 36 hours ahead. We can occasionally miss the second of two games between the same teams on one day, or fixtures whose teams are not yet announced. Every card is a free toss prediction, with no registration needed.
Results usually appear before the first delivery is bowled, although a few take several hours; cards marked "from our match preview" use the prediction published in our match article. Weather data from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0) shows conditions at the scheduled start and is updated every three hours.
Match Preview Calls Settled Today
Last 7 Days: Did the Toss Decide It?
Every settled toss from the previous 7 days (15 matches): who won the coin, what the captain decided and what happened in the match. Each line also shows what our match preview had predicted, including the misses. For today's tosses as they happen, see who won the toss today.
- SWD vs ECI 2026-10-01 · CSA Pro20 · Garden Route Badgers won the toss, chose to bat Garden Route Badgers won by 39 runs· toss winner won Our pick: Garden Route Badgers (55.1%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- IND vs SL 2026-10-01 · Asian Games · Sri Lanka won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) India won by 124 runs· toss winner lost Our pick: India (83.5%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- PAK vs BAN 2026-10-01 · Asian Games · Pakistan won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) Pakistan won by 6 wickets· toss winner won Our pick: Pakistan (61.1%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- SA vs AUS 2026-09-30 · SA vs AUS · South Africa won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) Australia won by 45 runs· toss winner lost Our pick: Australia (50.2%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- IND vs WI 2026-09-30 · ODI · India won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) India won by 8 wickets· toss winner won Our pick: India (87.8%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- ZIM-W vs WI-W 2026-09-30 · ZIM-W vs WI-W · Zimbabwe Women won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) West Indies Women won by 91 runs· toss winner lost Our pick: West Indies Women (89.2%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- BOL vs KNG 2026-09-29 · CSA Pro20 · Rocks (Boland) won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) Boland won by 5 wickets Our pick: Boland (58.2%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- WRS vs LIM 2026-09-29 · CSA Pro20 · Warriors won the toss, chose to bat Warriors won by 35 runs· toss winner won Our pick: Warriors (81.4%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- ECI vs NWD 2026-09-28 · CSA Pro20 · North West Dragons won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) Eastern Cape Iinyathi won by 13 runs· toss winner lost Our pick: North West Dragons (74.3%) ✗ ✓ Toss call
- DOL vs LIO 2026-09-27 · CSA Pro20 · Lions won the toss, chose to bat Lions won by 8 runs· toss winner won Our pick: Lions (54.8%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- ENG vs SL 2026-09-27 · ODI · England won the toss, chose to bat England won by 223 runs· toss winner won Our pick: England (81.4%) ✓ ✗ Toss call
- IND vs WI 2026-09-27 · ODI · India won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) India won by 8 wickets· toss winner won Our pick: India (85%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- SA vs AUS 2026-09-27 · SA vs AUS · Australia won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) South Africa won by 32 runs· toss winner lost Our pick: Australia (53.1%) ✗ ✓ Toss call
- TTN vs WP 2026-09-25 · CSA Pro20 · Titans won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) Titans won by 5 wickets· toss winner won Our pick: Titans (61.8%) ✓ ✓ Toss call
- WRS vs NWD 2026-09-25 · CSA Pro20 · North West Dragons won the toss, chose to field (bowl first) North West Dragons won by 7 wickets· toss winner won Our pick: Warriors (55.7%) ✗ ✓ Toss call
Who Will Win the Toss Today?
Nobody knows who will win the toss today, because it is a coin flip: in a study of 350,757 coin flips, heads came up 50.0% of the time. What we can predict is the next step, which is what the winner decides to do with the toss.
Whether you ask who will win the toss or aaj ka toss kaun jitega, the honest answer remains the same. Any today toss prediction that identifies the coin's winner is only a guess, and anyone claiming "100% sure" toss winner predictions is selling guesses as facts.
Even celebrated captains win only about half of their tosses: MS Dhoni won 122 of his 235 IPL tosses as captain (51.9%).
Today Toss Winner Prediction: What We Can Call
A today toss winner prediction can only guess the coin, so we predict something different: the decision that follows. On cards from our new model, a line under the facts shows both possibilities: what each team would probably choose if it wins the toss. Whichever captain calls correctly, you will already know the probable decision.
Does It Matter Who Wins the Toss?
Only a little, on average: a 2023 study of 35,357 matches found that toss winners won 39.2% of games and toss losers 37.4%, with the remainder drawn. The same study found the largest advantage in Test cricket, at 4.9 percentage points. In ODIs and T20s it was close to zero on average, except in day/night games, where winning the toss was worth 3.3 percentage points.
| Matches | Toss winners won |
|---|---|
| 35,357 matches, all formats (2023 study) | 39.2% (toss losers 37.4%; the rest drawn) |
| 10,003 decided T20s in our records, Feb 2005 to Sep 2026 | 51.1% (5,115) |
| 1,218 decided IPL matches, 2008 to 2026 | 51.6% (628) |
How Our Cricket Toss Prediction Works
A toss prediction is a call on what the toss winner will decide: to bat or bowl first. Our cricket toss prediction puts a percentage on that decision, worked out from counts you can check on the cards. It is an AI toss prediction: our model does the reading an expert toss prediction would, and writes the numbers down.
What Each Call Weighs
The venue comes first: how often toss winners at that ground have chosen to bowl or to bat. Across all T20s, toss winners bowl first 61.4% of the time in men's matches and 55.2% in women's.
Since 24 September, new predictions also weigh each side's recent toss decisions and the scheduled start time of the match: day, afternoon or evening. Predictions made before that date were based on the venue and the T20 pattern.
The weather and the chasing record shown on a card are displayed for context only. They are not part of the calculation, and neither is the pitch soil or a captain's personality.
How to Read a Card
Each today match toss prediction card follows the same pattern. The coloured pill is the call, bowl first or bat first, and the number beside it is the probability that the toss winner makes that decision. The label beside the number indicates how strong the prediction is.
We tested our current model on 6,788 past T20 tosses from 2021 to 2026, using only information available before each match.
Strong calls (70% or more) were correct 78% of the time and Likely calls (60 to 69%) 67% of the time. Lean calls (55 to 59%) were correct 56% of the time, and Close calls (under 55%) 53%, which is barely better than a coin.
The chips underneath are facts you can verify independently: cyan chips point towards bowling first, amber chips towards batting first, and grey chips towards neither. A fact that contradicts the prediction stays on the card, so you always see the evidence on both sides.
The toss time is displayed in Indian Standard Time, 30 minutes before the start, which is the earliest moment the Laws allow. Law 13.4 places the toss between 30 and 15 minutes before the scheduled start.
Why Night Games Lean to Bowling First
Of the tosses graded on our board since 5 September, evening toss winners chose to bowl 34 times out of 42 (81.0%), compared with 47 times out of 101 (46.5%) in day games. The usual explanation is evening dew.
Dew forms when the grass and the ball cool below the dew point of the surrounding air, so it usually appears during the evening. A wet ball is difficult to grip, and Aakash Chopra once compared it to bowling with a bar of wet soap.
That makes bowling second more difficult, so captains who win the toss in evening games frequently choose to bowl first. The 2023 study found the same pattern in match results: winning the toss was worth 3.3 percentage points in day/night ODIs and T20s, and nothing in daytime games.
Best Toss Prediction Today? Check the Graded Record
The best toss prediction today is the one with a record you can check, so here is ours, printed next to the simplest possible rule: calling "bowl first" every time.
| Calls | When | Right | Always bowl first, same matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every-match board, new model | since 24 Sep | 7 of 16 (43.8%) | 10 of 16 (62.5%) |
| Every-match board, earlier model | calls made 5–24 Sep | 75 of 133 (56.4%) | 75 of 133 (56.4%) |
| Match previews in our articles | 10 Feb – 2 Oct 2026 | 194 of 296 (65.5%) | 218 of 296 (73.6%) |
So far, our earlier every-match calls are about level with always bowling first, and our match-preview calls scored below it.
Five checks for the best toss prediction today, on any toss prediction website:
- It predicts the decision, bat or bowl, rather than the coin.
- It gives a probability for each prediction instead of a "sure" pick.
- It shows every graded prediction, including the misses.
- It shows how "always bowl first" performed on the same matches.
- It tells you when a prediction is close to a coin flip.
Beware of 95% claims
If a website or Telegram channel claims 95% accuracy, do not believe it. Nobody can predict the coin, and for the decision our model's best test was correct approximately 64% of the time. Simply calling "bowl first" every time scored between 56.4% and 73.6% on our records.
Every graded prediction is on our public toss prediction record, with a CSV download, and you can also subscribe to our toss prediction Telegram channel. Consider them free toss tips, with the reasoning included.
IPL Toss Prediction: What IPL Toss Winners Choose
IPL toss winners bowl first most of the time: in IPL 2026, 61 of 74 chose to bowl (82.4%), and across every IPL season since 2008 the figure is 825 of 1,243 (66.4%). There is no IPL toss prediction today. The IPL 2026 season ended on 31 May. Who will win IPL 2027? Pick your top four and compare with our AI model.
| Season | Chose to bowl |
|---|---|
| 2022 | 79.7% |
| 2023 | 71.6% |
| 2024 | 73.2% |
| 2025 | 81.1% |
| 2026 | 82.4% |
| Ground | IPL matches | Toss winners chose to bowl | Chasing side won* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai | 132 | 76.5% (83.7% since 2022) | 55.0% |
| M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru | 104 | 91.3% (24 of 24 since 2022) | 56.0% |
| Eden Gardens, Kolkata | 107 | 67.3% | 57.1% (46.4% since 2022) |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | 41 | 80.5% | 51.2% |
| MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai | 98 | 48.0% (67.7% since 2023) | 61.3% since 2023** |
| *Share of matches with a result. **All-time at Chepauk, the side batting first won 51 of 96. | |||
Winning the IPL toss has not meant winning the match: toss winners won 628 of 1,218 IPL games with a result (51.6%), and 37 of 72 in 2026 (51.4%). For match predictions during the season, see our IPL predictions.
Today Toss Prediction FAQs
Can you predict a cricket toss?
Not the coin. A fair toss is 50/50, and in a study of 350,757 flips, heads came up 50.0% of the time. You can predict the choice that follows some of the time: in men's T20s, 61.4% of toss winners bowl first. Our cards add each ground's record, and newer cards add both sides' habits and the start time.
Which team will win the toss today?
Nobody can say before the coin lands; each captain has the same 50% chance. Our toss prediction today answers the next question instead: what the winner is likely to choose. Cards from our new model show both cases, so you know the likely choice whichever side wins.
Aaj ka toss kaun jitega?
Toss ka coin koi nahi bata sakta: dono captain ke paas 50% chance hota hai. Hum yeh batate hain ki toss jeetne wali team pehle batting karegi ya bowling. Aaj ke match ki prediction aur toss ka result Hinglish mein: aaj ka match kaun jitega.
What is the time of toss?
Under Law 13.4 of the Laws of Cricket, the toss happens between 30 and 15 minutes before the scheduled start. Our cards show the earlier time, 30 minutes before the start, in IST. For a 7:30 pm IST start, that means a toss at about 7:00 pm.
Who will bat first today?
The side that wins the toss and chooses to bat, or the side that loses it when the winner chooses to bowl. Each card calls that choice, and a card from our model also gives its chance. Once the toss is published, the card shows what the winner chose and whether we called it.
How accurate are your toss predictions?
Our every-match calls: 75 of 133 right from 5 to 24 September, where always calling "bowl first" would have got 75. Our new model, live since 24 September: 7 of 16 right, where always bowling first got 10. Our earlier match-preview calls went 194 of 296 (65.5%), against 218 for always bowling first. Every graded call is on our public ledger.
Does the toss really matter in T20 cricket?
A little. In our records, T20 toss winners won 5,115 of 10,003 decided games (51.1%). A 2023 study of 35,357 matches found the toss worth close to nothing on average in T20s and ODIs, except day/night games, where it added 3.3 points.
Why do most IPL captains choose to bowl first?
The numbers point to dew. In IPL 2026, 61 of 74 toss winners chose to bowl (82.4%). Evening dew makes the ball wet and hard to grip, which makes bowling second harder. On our board since 5 September, evening toss winners bowled first 34 times in 42, and day toss winners 47 times in 101.
How do you win the toss?
You can't do it on purpose. The captain who calls has a 50% chance, whichever side is called. Streaks happen by chance: Rohit Sharma lost 12 ODI tosses in a row, from the 2023 World Cup final to the 2025 Champions Trophy final, equalling Brian Lara. The odds of that are 1 in 4,096.
Can astrology predict today's toss?
No. Sites selling today match toss prediction astrology, with birth signs or kundli charts, are guessing a coin. A coin's landing is set by physics: how it is flipped, spun, and caught or bounced. A machine can flip a coin to land the same way every time; a human flip can't be controlled that finely, which keeps it fair.
What is a toss in cricket?
Before play, the two captains toss a coin in front of an umpire. The winner chooses to bat or bowl first and must tell the other captain and the umpires. Once told, the choice can't be changed. That is Law 13 of the Laws of Cricket.
Related Tools & Guides
That is our toss prediction today: the decision, the probability, the facts for and against, and a record you can check. New T20 fixtures are added every three hours, so check back before each toss.
For who wins the match itself, see today's cricket predictions. If you bet, please bet responsibly; it is for adults aged 18 and over. Is betting legal in India? Read our guide first.