New Zealand vs South Africa Toss Prediction (NZ vs SA)

Our toss call

Bowl first

From our match preview

We expect the toss winner to field.

✗ Decision missed · South Africa elected to bat

By CricketPrediction.com ·

Toss result

South Africa won the toss and chose to bat.

South Africa bat first

Stamped 7 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

South Africa won by 19 runs ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

Sunday, 22 March 2026 · 05:30 IST · Sky Stadium, Wellington · STON2

From our match preview

Field first. Sky Stadium has a 61% chase win rate in T20Is, with 14 of 23 completed innings won by the batting-second team.

🏟️ What the toss means at Sky Stadium, Wellington

Toss impact: Moderate bat-first ground — chases succeed only 48% of the time here

The toss went South Africa's way — they chose to bat, so New Zealand chase. In this branch our model makes New Zealand 54.0% — fair odds 1.85 (SA 2.17) against a pre-toss baseline of 55.0%.

How we made this New Zealand vs South Africa toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction approach.

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our New Zealand vs South Africa match preview.

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NZ vs SA toss prediction FAQ

Who won the NZ vs SA toss?

South Africa won the NZ vs SA toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in NZ vs SA?

South Africa chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the NZ vs SA match odds?

Meaningfully. Sky Stadium, Wellington favours batting first (chases succeed only 48% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 1 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

Where to bet on today's matches

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →

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