NZ

NZ vs SA Toss Prediction

SA

Sunday, 22 March 2026 · 05:30 IST · Sky Stadium, Wellington · STON2

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our NZ vs SA match preview on 20 March 2026.

Pre-Toss Call vs Actual

✗ Decision missed
Our predicted decision
field first
From the article: "Field first. Sky Stadium has a 61% chase win rate in T20Is, with 14 of 23 completed innings won by the batting-second team."
What happened
South Africa elected to bat
Stamped 7 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
New Zealand won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

How we made this NZ vs SA toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction approach.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for NZ vs SA: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full NZ vs SA prediction →