NZ

NZ vs SA Toss Prediction

SA

Friday, 20 March 2026 · 05:30 IST · Eden Park, Auckland · STON2

Toss receipt page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our NZ vs SA match preview on 17 March 2026.

Toss Receipt

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
field first
From the article: "Field first. Eden Park has a ~55% chase win rate in T20Is, and the evening start (7:15 PM NZDT) brings light dew that helps the chasing team. Both Santner and Maharaj are expected to bowl first if they win the toss."
What happened
New Zealand elected to field
Stamped 7 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
New Zealand won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

How we made this NZ vs SA toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The receipt above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the field-first scoring method.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for NZ vs SA: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full NZ vs SA prediction →