Record

Value Betting Record

We only bet when there's positive expected value (+EV). This page tracks every real-money bet with full transparency. No hypotheticals—just actual results. With only 56 completed bets, results are dominated by variance. Statistical significance requires 200+ bets.

₹5,900
Total Staked
-₹849.5
Profit/Loss
-14.4%
ROI
26-28
Record (3 pending)

Early Data Warning

With only 56 completed bets, these results are statistically meaningless. A +5% edge strategy can easily show -20% to +30% ROI after 56 bets due to variance. Check back after 200+ bets for meaningful data.

All Value Bets (59)

Every real-money bet we've placed. No hypotheticals—just actual results. From 29 Dec 2025, we require minimum 2% edge to bet.

3 Feb • Womens Premier League Pending
GG-W vs DC-W
Pick: Gujarat Giants Women
Odds: 1.91 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.6%
1 Feb • Womens Premier League Pending
DC-W vs UPW
Pick: DC-W
Odds: 1.63 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +6.7%
31 Jan • New Zealand tour of India 2026 Pending
IND vs NZ
Pick: NZ
Odds: 3.6 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7.2%
26 Jan • Womens Premier League Lost
MI-W vs RCB-W
Mumbai Indians Women won by 15 runs. MI-W 199/4 (20) vs RCB-W 184/9 (20).
Pick: RCB-W
Odds: 1.8 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +2.4%
25 Jan • Big Bash League Won
PS vs SS
Perth Scorchers won by 6 wickets. PS 133/4 (17.3) vs SS 132 (20).
Pick: PS
Odds: 1.72 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +6.9%
25 Jan • Womens Super Smash Won
CM vs NB
Northern Brave won by 48 runs. NB 151/7 (18) vs CM 103/8 (18).
Pick: NB
Odds: 1.6 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7.5%
24 Jan • WPL Lost
DC-W vs RCB-W
Delhi Capitals won by 7 wickets (111/3 v 109/10)
Pick: Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Odds: 1.75 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7.9%
24 Jan • Womens Super Smash Lost
CH vs OS
Otago Sparks won by 2 wickets. CH 123/5 (20) vs OS 126/8 (19.3).
Pick: CH
Odds: 1.88 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +8.8%
23 Jan • Women's Super Smash Won
CM vs WB
Wellington Blaze won by 6 runs (130/9 vs 124/7)
Pick: WB
Odds: 1.55 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.5%
21 Jan • Big Bash League Lost
HH vs MS
Hobart Hurricanes won by 3 runs (DLS method)
Pick: Melbourne Stars
Odds: 2.15 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +6.5%
21 Jan • Womens Super Smash Lost
CM vs OS
Canterbury Magicians won by 9 wickets (145/1 vs 141/7)
Pick: OS
Odds: 1.75 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.9%
20 Jan • Big Bash League Won
PS vs SS
Perth Scorchers won by 48 runs (147/9 vs 99)
Pick: Perth Scorchers
Odds: 1.8 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.4%
19 Jan • Womens Premier League Won
GG-W vs RCB-W
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women won by 61 runs (178/6 vs 117/8)
Pick: RCB-W
Odds: 1.73 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7.2%
18 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
VID vs SAU
Vidarbha won by 38 runs (317/8 vs 279)
Pick: SAU
Odds: 1.91 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +5.6%
17 Jan • Bangladesh Premier League Won
DC vs RR
Rangpur Riders won by 11 runs (181/4 vs 170/7)
Pick: RR
Odds: 1.6 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.5%
15 Jan • Bangladesh Premier League Lost
CHR vs NKE
Chattogram Royals won by 5 wickets
Pick: NKE
Odds: 2.63 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7%
14 Jan • Womens Premier League Won
DC vs UPW
DC won by 7 wickets (158/3 vs 154/8)
Pick: DC
Odds: 1.83 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +3.4%
14 Jan • Womens Super Smash Won
AH vs CM
Auckland Hearts won by 7 wickets (94/3 vs 93)
Pick: AH
Odds: 1.45 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +5.03%
13 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
PNJB vs MP
Punjab won by 183 runs (345/6 vs 162)
Pick: MP
Odds: 2.08 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +9.9%
13 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Won
DEL vs VID
Vidarbha won by 76 runs (300/9 vs 224)
Pick: VID
Odds: 2.15 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +5.5%
10 Jan • Women's Premier League Won
GG-W vs UP-W
Gujarat Giants Women won by 10 runs. GG-W 207/4 vs UP-W 197/8.
Pick: GG-W
Odds: 2.05 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +9.2%
9 Jan • Womens Premier League Lost
MI-W vs RCB-W
RCB Women won by 3 wickets (157/7 vs 154/6)
Pick: MI-W
Odds: 1.67 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +2.1%
7 Jan • T20I Lost
SL vs PAK
Pakistan won by 6 wickets (129/4 vs 128)
Pick: Sri Lanka
Odds: 2.45 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +2.2%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
BIH vs MAN
Bihar won by 6 wickets
Pick: Manipur
Odds: 6.7 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.1%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
KER vs PUD
Kerala won by 8 wickets
Pick: Puducherry
Odds: 8.08 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +11.6%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
GOA vs PUN
Punjab won by 6 wickets
Pick: GOA
Odds: 6.5 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +12.6%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
GUJ vs ODI
Gujarat won by 233 runs
Pick: ODI
Odds: 2.02 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +8.5%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Won
UP vs VID
Uttar Pradesh won by 54 runs
Pick: UP
Odds: 1.85 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +8%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Lost
TN vs TRP
Tamil Nadu won by 54 runs
Pick: TRP
Odds: 2.55 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +18.8%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Won
CHH vs MAH
Chhattisgarh won by 6 runs
Pick: CHH
Odds: 7.85 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +9.3%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Won
BEN vs HYD
Hyderabad won by 107 runs
Pick: HYD
Odds: 3.03 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +9%
6 Jan • Vijay Hazare Trophy Void
AND vs HAR
Match tied (VJD)
Pick: Haryana
Odds: 1.5 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +3.3%
5 Jan • Bangladesh Premier League Won
NKE vs SYT
Sylhet Titans won by 6 wickets
Pick: SYT
Odds: 1.78 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +11.8%
4 Jan • 8654 Void
ND vs OTAGO
Match tied
Pick: Northern Districts
Odds: 1.86 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +6.2%
3 Jan • Womens Super Smash Won
CH vs CM
Central Districts Women won by 7 runs
Pick: CH
Odds: 1.93 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.2%
2 Jan • Women's Super Smash Lost
AH vs WB
Auckland Women won by 5 wickets
Pick: Wellington Blaze Women
Odds: 1.41 Stake: ₹100 Edge: +7.1%
1 Jan • ILT20 Lost
DC vs ADKR
Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won by 50 runs
Pick: Dubai Capitals
Odds: 1.86 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +8.2%
1 Jan • WSS Lost
CMW vs CHW
Central Districts Women won by 7 wickets (DLS)
Pick: Canterbury Magicians
Odds: 2 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +8%
31 Dec • VHT Won
JHK vs TN
Jharkhand won by 9 wickets
Pick: Jharkhand
Odds: 1.73 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +7.2%
31 Dec • VHT Won
BEN vs JK
Bengal won by 9 wickets
Pick: Bengal
Odds: 1.57 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.3%
31 Dec • VHT Lost
MAN vs MIZ
Manipur won by 8 wickets
Pick: Mizoram
Odds: 5.1 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +8.4%
30 Dec • ILT20 Lost
DV vs MIE
Desert Vipers won by 45 runs
Pick: MI Emirates
Odds: 1.84 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +3.7%
30 Dec • T20I Lost
INDW vs SLW
India Women won by 15 runs (175/7 vs 160/7)
Pick: Sri Lanka Women
Odds: 10 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +8%
29 Dec • WSS Won
OSW vs CHW
Otago Sparks won by 7 wickets
Pick: Otago Sparks
Odds: 1.76 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +11.2%
29 Dec • VHT Won
KER vs MP
Madhya Pradesh won by 47 runs (214/10 vs 167/10)
Pick: Madhya Pradesh
Odds: 1.86 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +6.2%
29 Dec • VHT Won
GUJ vs HAR
Haryana won by 26 runs (299/10 vs 273/10)
Pick: Haryana
Odds: 1.98 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +4.5%
28 Dec • ILT20 Lost
GG vs ADKR
Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won by 32 runs (179/1 vs 147/9)
Pick: Gulf Giants
Odds: 2.13 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +11.1%
28 Dec • T20I Lost
INDW vs SLW
India Women won by 30 runs (221/2 vs 191/6)
Pick: Sri Lanka Women
Odds: 8.38 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.1%
27 Dec • BPL Won
SYT vs NKE
Sylhet Titans won by 1 wicket (SYT 144/9 vs NKE 143/7)
Pick: Sylhet Titans
Odds: 1.65 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +7.4%
27 Dec • BPL Lost
DC vs RJW
Dhaka Capitals won by 5 wickets (DC 134/5 vs RJW 132/8)
Pick: Rajshahi Warriors
Odds: 1.74 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.5%
27 Dec • WSS Lost
CHW vs WBW
Wellington Blaze won by 18 runs (136/5 vs 118/10)
Pick: Central Hinds
Odds: 2.79 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +2.2%
26 Dec • ILT20 Won
SW vs DV
Desert Vipers won by 5 wickets (144/5 vs 140/7)
Pick: Desert Vipers
Odds: 1.54 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +10.1%
26 Dec • BPL Lost
SYT vs RJW
Rajshahi Warriors won by 8 wickets
Pick: Sylhet Titans
Odds: 2.06 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +11.5%
26 Dec • VHT Lost
HAR vs SAU
Haryana won by 6 wickets (256/4 vs 253/10)
Pick: Saurashtra
Odds: 1.49 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +1%
26 Dec • VHT Won
HYD vs VID
Vidarbha won by 89 runs (365/5 vs 276/10)
Pick: Vidarbha
Odds: 1.62 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +0.3%
26 Dec • VHT Won
KAR vs KER
Karnataka won by 8 wickets (285/2 vs 284/7)
Pick: Karnataka
Odds: 1.57 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +1.3%
26 Dec • VHT Won
JHK vs RAJ
Jharkhand won by 73 runs (301/10 vs 228/10)
Pick: Jharkhand
Odds: 1.7 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +9.2%
26 Dec • VHT Lost
BAR vs BEN
Baroda won by 4 wickets (209/6 vs 205/10)
Pick: Bengal
Odds: 1.61 Stake: ₹150 Edge: +7.9%
26 Dec • VHT Won
DEL vs GUJ
Delhi won by 7 runs (254/9 vs 247/10)
Pick: Delhi
Odds: 1.36 Stake: ₹50 Edge: +1.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is value betting?

Value betting means only placing bets when your assessed probability is higher than the bookmaker's implied probability. If you believe a team has a 60% chance but odds imply 50%, that's a +10% edge. Over time, positive expected value (+EV) bets generate profit.

How do you calculate edge?

Edge = Our Probability - Bookmaker Implied Probability. For example, if we assess Team A at 65% and the odds are 1.80 (implying 55.6%), the edge is +9.4%. We only bet when edge is ≥2%.

What are your staking rules?

We use fixed fractional staking based on edge size. 2-5% edge: ₹50 (0.5 units). 5-8% edge: ₹100 (1 unit). 8%+ edge: ₹150 (1.5 units). This keeps risk proportional to our advantage.

Do you publish all predictions or just bets?

This page shows only real-money bets—matches where we found genuine value and staked our own funds. We analyse more matches than we bet on, but this record tracks accountability, not hypothetical predictions.

What is your starting bankroll?

We started with ₹10,000 on 26 December 2025. 1 unit = ₹100 (1% of starting bankroll). This page tracks every bet with full transparency—wins, losses, and pending results.

How often do you update this page?

Results are updated after each match is completed. We update the result (win/loss) and match score for every bet. Pending bets are shown in yellow until the match finishes.

Why are you showing losses publicly?

Transparency builds trust. Every tipster claims profits—showing real losses (and explaining variance) differentiates us. We are betting with real money and documenting the journey honestly. Hiding losses would be dishonest.

How many bets until results are meaningful?

Statisticians typically require 200-500 bets before drawing conclusions about edge. With our average ~5% edge, we would expect ROI to stabilise around ±5% of true edge after 300+ bets. With fewer than 100 bets, anything from -20% to +30% ROI is within normal variance.

What is variance in betting?

Variance is the natural fluctuation in results due to randomness. Even with a proven +5% edge, you can have losing months. A coin flip has 50% probability, but flipping 10 heads in a row (0.1% chance) will eventually happen. Cricket betting has even higher variance due to weather, toss, and individual performances.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. This record tracks our value betting strategy for transparency—it is not financial advice.