Record
Value Betting Record
We only bet when there's positive expected value (+EV). This page tracks every real-money bet with full transparency. No hypotheticals—just actual results. With only 56 completed bets, results are dominated by variance. Statistical significance requires 200+ bets.
Early Data Warning
With only 56 completed bets, these results are statistically meaningless. A +5% edge strategy can easily show -20% to +30% ROI after 56 bets due to variance. Check back after 200+ bets for meaningful data.
All Value Bets (59)
Every real-money bet we've placed. No hypotheticals—just actual results. From 29 Dec 2025, we require minimum 2% edge to bet.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Edge | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb | GG-W vs DC-W Womens Premier League | Gujarat Giants Women | 1.91 | +4.6% | ₹50 | Pending | - |
| 1 Feb | DC-W vs UPW Womens Premier League | DC-W | 1.63 | +6.7% | ₹100 | Pending | - |
| 31 Jan | IND vs NZ New Zealand tour of India 2026 | NZ | 3.6 | +7.2% | ₹100 | Pending | - |
| 26 Jan | MI-W vs RCB-W Womens Premier League Mumbai Indians Women won by 15 runs. MI-W 199/4 (20) vs RCB-W 184/9 (20). | RCB-W | 1.8 | +2.4% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 25 Jan | PS vs SS Big Bash League Perth Scorchers won by 6 wickets. PS 133/4 (17.3) vs SS 132 (20). | PS | 1.72 | +6.9% | ₹100 | Won | +₹72 |
| 25 Jan | CM vs NB Womens Super Smash Northern Brave won by 48 runs. NB 151/7 (18) vs CM 103/8 (18). | NB | 1.6 | +7.5% | ₹100 | Won | +₹60 |
| 24 Jan | DC-W vs RCB-W WPL Delhi Capitals won by 7 wickets (111/3 v 109/10) | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 1.75 | +7.9% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 24 Jan | CH vs OS Womens Super Smash Otago Sparks won by 2 wickets. CH 123/5 (20) vs OS 126/8 (19.3). | CH | 1.88 | +8.8% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 23 Jan | CM vs WB Women's Super Smash Wellington Blaze won by 6 runs (130/9 vs 124/7) | WB | 1.55 | +10.5% | ₹150 | Won | +₹83 |
| 21 Jan | HH vs MS Big Bash League Hobart Hurricanes won by 3 runs (DLS method) | Melbourne Stars | 2.15 | +6.5% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 21 Jan | CM vs OS Womens Super Smash Canterbury Magicians won by 9 wickets (145/1 vs 141/7) | OS | 1.75 | +4.9% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 20 Jan | PS vs SS Big Bash League Perth Scorchers won by 48 runs (147/9 vs 99) | Perth Scorchers | 1.8 | +4.4% | ₹50 | Won | +₹40 |
| 19 Jan | GG-W vs RCB-W Womens Premier League Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women won by 61 runs (178/6 vs 117/8) | RCB-W | 1.73 | +7.2% | ₹100 | Won | +₹73 |
| 18 Jan | VID vs SAU Vijay Hazare Trophy Vidarbha won by 38 runs (317/8 vs 279) | SAU | 1.91 | +5.6% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 17 Jan | DC vs RR Bangladesh Premier League Rangpur Riders won by 11 runs (181/4 vs 170/7) | RR | 1.6 | +4.5% | ₹50 | Won | +₹30 |
| 15 Jan | CHR vs NKE Bangladesh Premier League Chattogram Royals won by 5 wickets | NKE | 2.63 | +7% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 14 Jan | DC vs UPW Womens Premier League DC won by 7 wickets (158/3 vs 154/8) | DC | 1.83 | +3.4% | ₹50 | Won | +₹42 |
| 14 Jan | AH vs CM Womens Super Smash Auckland Hearts won by 7 wickets (94/3 vs 93) | AH | 1.45 | +5.03% | ₹100 | Won | +₹45 |
| 13 Jan | PNJB vs MP Vijay Hazare Trophy Punjab won by 183 runs (345/6 vs 162) | MP | 2.08 | +9.9% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 13 Jan | DEL vs VID Vijay Hazare Trophy Vidarbha won by 76 runs (300/9 vs 224) | VID | 2.15 | +5.5% | ₹100 | Won | +₹115 |
| 10 Jan | GG-W vs UP-W Women's Premier League Gujarat Giants Women won by 10 runs. GG-W 207/4 vs UP-W 197/8. | GG-W | 2.05 | +9.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹157 |
| 9 Jan | MI-W vs RCB-W Womens Premier League RCB Women won by 3 wickets (157/7 vs 154/6) | MI-W | 1.67 | +2.1% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 7 Jan | SL vs PAK T20I Pakistan won by 6 wickets (129/4 vs 128) | Sri Lanka | 2.45 | +2.2% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 6 Jan | BIH vs MAN Vijay Hazare Trophy Bihar won by 6 wickets | Manipur | 6.7 | +10.1% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 6 Jan | KER vs PUD Vijay Hazare Trophy Kerala won by 8 wickets | Puducherry | 8.08 | +11.6% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 6 Jan | GOA vs PUN Vijay Hazare Trophy Punjab won by 6 wickets | GOA | 6.5 | +12.6% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 6 Jan | GUJ vs ODI Vijay Hazare Trophy Gujarat won by 233 runs | ODI | 2.02 | +8.5% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 6 Jan | UP vs VID Vijay Hazare Trophy Uttar Pradesh won by 54 runs | UP | 1.85 | +8% | ₹100 | Won | +₹85 |
| 6 Jan | TN vs TRP Vijay Hazare Trophy Tamil Nadu won by 54 runs | TRP | 2.55 | +18.8% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 6 Jan | CHH vs MAH Vijay Hazare Trophy Chhattisgarh won by 6 runs | CHH | 7.85 | +9.3% | ₹50 | Won | +₹343 |
| 6 Jan | BEN vs HYD Vijay Hazare Trophy Hyderabad won by 107 runs | HYD | 3.03 | +9% | ₹150 | Won | +₹304 |
| 6 Jan | AND vs HAR Vijay Hazare Trophy Match tied (VJD) | Haryana | 1.5 | +3.3% | ₹50 | Void | - |
| 5 Jan | NKE vs SYT Bangladesh Premier League Sylhet Titans won by 6 wickets | SYT | 1.78 | +11.8% | ₹150 | Won | +₹117 |
| 4 Jan | ND vs OTAGO 8654 Match tied | Northern Districts | 1.86 | +6.2% | ₹100 | Void | - |
| 3 Jan | CH vs CM Womens Super Smash Central Districts Women won by 7 runs | CH | 1.93 | +10.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹140 |
| 2 Jan | AH vs WB Women's Super Smash Auckland Women won by 5 wickets | Wellington Blaze Women | 1.41 | +7.1% | ₹100 | Lost | -₹100 |
| 1 Jan | DC vs ADKR ILT20 Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won by 50 runs | Dubai Capitals | 1.86 | +8.2% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 1 Jan | CMW vs CHW WSS Central Districts Women won by 7 wickets (DLS) | Canterbury Magicians | 2 | +8% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 31 Dec | JHK vs TN VHT Jharkhand won by 9 wickets | Jharkhand | 1.73 | +7.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹110 |
| 31 Dec | BEN vs JK VHT Bengal won by 9 wickets | Bengal | 1.57 | +4.3% | ₹50 | Won | +₹29 |
| 31 Dec | MAN vs MIZ VHT Manipur won by 8 wickets | Mizoram | 5.1 | +8.4% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 30 Dec | DV vs MIE ILT20 Desert Vipers won by 45 runs | MI Emirates | 1.84 | +3.7% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 30 Dec | INDW vs SLW T20I India Women won by 15 runs (175/7 vs 160/7) | Sri Lanka Women | 10 | +8% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 29 Dec | OSW vs CHW WSS Otago Sparks won by 7 wickets | Otago Sparks | 1.76 | +11.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹114 |
| 29 Dec | KER vs MP VHT Madhya Pradesh won by 47 runs (214/10 vs 167/10) | Madhya Pradesh | 1.86 | +6.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹129 |
| 29 Dec | GUJ vs HAR VHT Haryana won by 26 runs (299/10 vs 273/10) | Haryana | 1.98 | +4.5% | ₹50 | Won | +₹49 |
| 28 Dec | GG vs ADKR ILT20 Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won by 32 runs (179/1 vs 147/9) | Gulf Giants | 2.13 | +11.1% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 28 Dec | INDW vs SLW T20I India Women won by 30 runs (221/2 vs 191/6) | Sri Lanka Women | 8.38 | +10.1% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 27 Dec | SYT vs NKE BPL Sylhet Titans won by 1 wicket (SYT 144/9 vs NKE 143/7) | Sylhet Titans | 1.65 | +7.4% | ₹150 | Won | +₹97 |
| 27 Dec | DC vs RJW BPL Dhaka Capitals won by 5 wickets (DC 134/5 vs RJW 132/8) | Rajshahi Warriors | 1.74 | +10.5% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 27 Dec | CHW vs WBW WSS Wellington Blaze won by 18 runs (136/5 vs 118/10) | Central Hinds | 2.79 | +2.2% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 26 Dec | SW vs DV ILT20 Desert Vipers won by 5 wickets (144/5 vs 140/7) | Desert Vipers | 1.54 | +10.1% | ₹150 | Won | +₹81 |
| 26 Dec | SYT vs RJW BPL Rajshahi Warriors won by 8 wickets | Sylhet Titans | 2.06 | +11.5% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 26 Dec | HAR vs SAU VHT Haryana won by 6 wickets (256/4 vs 253/10) | Saurashtra | 1.49 | +1% | ₹50 | Lost | -₹50 |
| 26 Dec | HYD vs VID VHT Vidarbha won by 89 runs (365/5 vs 276/10) | Vidarbha | 1.62 | +0.3% | ₹50 | Won | +₹31 |
| 26 Dec | KAR vs KER VHT Karnataka won by 8 wickets (285/2 vs 284/7) | Karnataka | 1.57 | +1.3% | ₹50 | Won | +₹29 |
| 26 Dec | JHK vs RAJ VHT Jharkhand won by 73 runs (301/10 vs 228/10) | Jharkhand | 1.7 | +9.2% | ₹150 | Won | +₹105 |
| 26 Dec | BAR vs BEN VHT Baroda won by 4 wickets (209/6 vs 205/10) | Bengal | 1.61 | +7.9% | ₹150 | Lost | -₹150 |
| 26 Dec | DEL vs GUJ VHT Delhi won by 7 runs (254/9 vs 247/10) | Delhi | 1.36 | +1.5% | ₹50 | Won | +₹18 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is value betting?
Value betting means only placing bets when your assessed probability is higher than the bookmaker's implied probability. If you believe a team has a 60% chance but odds imply 50%, that's a +10% edge. Over time, positive expected value (+EV) bets generate profit.
How do you calculate edge?
Edge = Our Probability - Bookmaker Implied Probability. For example, if we assess Team A at 65% and the odds are 1.80 (implying 55.6%), the edge is +9.4%. We only bet when edge is ≥2%.
What are your staking rules?
We use fixed fractional staking based on edge size. 2-5% edge: ₹50 (0.5 units). 5-8% edge: ₹100 (1 unit). 8%+ edge: ₹150 (1.5 units). This keeps risk proportional to our advantage.
Do you publish all predictions or just bets?
This page shows only real-money bets—matches where we found genuine value and staked our own funds. We analyse more matches than we bet on, but this record tracks accountability, not hypothetical predictions.
What is your starting bankroll?
We started with ₹10,000 on 26 December 2025. 1 unit = ₹100 (1% of starting bankroll). This page tracks every bet with full transparency—wins, losses, and pending results.
How often do you update this page?
Results are updated after each match is completed. We update the result (win/loss) and match score for every bet. Pending bets are shown in yellow until the match finishes.
Why are you showing losses publicly?
Transparency builds trust. Every tipster claims profits—showing real losses (and explaining variance) differentiates us. We are betting with real money and documenting the journey honestly. Hiding losses would be dishonest.
How many bets until results are meaningful?
Statisticians typically require 200-500 bets before drawing conclusions about edge. With our average ~5% edge, we would expect ROI to stabilise around ±5% of true edge after 300+ bets. With fewer than 100 bets, anything from -20% to +30% ROI is within normal variance.
What is variance in betting?
Variance is the natural fluctuation in results due to randomness. Even with a proven +5% edge, you can have losing months. A coin flip has 50% probability, but flipping 10 heads in a row (0.1% chance) will eventually happen. Cricket betting has even higher variance due to weather, toss, and individual performances.
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Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. This record tracks our value betting strategy for transparency—it is not financial advice.