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Gujarat Giants Women cricket team logo

GG-W

VS
Delhi Capitals Women cricket team logo

DC-W

Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara

Womens Premier League

Gujarat Giants Women vs Delhi Capitals Women Match Prediction

Last updated: 2 February 2026

Strong Edge Model tips Gujarat Giants Women at 57% (fair odds 1.75)
Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist ·

Gujarat Giants meet Delhi Capitals in the WPL 2026 Eliminator on Tuesday, February 3 at Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara. The stakes are simple: win or go home. The Giants have already beaten Delhi twice this season—by four runs on January 11 and three runs on January 27. Both wins came down to Sophie Devine defending single-digit totals in the final over. Can she do it a third time?

Gujarat Giants Women 2025/2026: First-Time Playoff Contenders

After finishing last in both 2023 and 2024, Gujarat Giants have transformed under Ashleigh Gardner's captaincy. They ended the league stage in second place with 10 points (5W-3L), their best-ever WPL campaign.

  • vs Delhi Capitals (Jan 11) - Won by 4 runs. Sophie Devine smashed 95 off 42 balls then defended 6 runs in the final over despite Nandani Sharma's 5/33.
  • vs Delhi Capitals (Jan 27) - Won by 3 runs. Beth Mooney (58 off 46) anchored the innings; Devine took 4/37 and defended 9 runs in the last over.
  • vs Mumbai Indians (Jan 30) - Historic first-ever win over MI, defending 167 to seal playoff spot. Gardner (46) and Wareham (44*) the key contributors.

The pattern is clear: when it matters most, Devine delivers. She leads the Purple Cap with 17 wickets at 13.94—no other bowler has matched her consistency at the death.

Key strength: Death bowling. Devine has defended under 10 runs in the final over twice against this exact opponent. That's clutch.

Delhi Capitals Women 2025/2026: Experience Without a Trophy

Delhi Capitals are the only team to reach all three WPL finals—and lose all three. Under first-time captain Jemimah Rodrigues, they finished third with 8 points (4W-4L), qualifying via a nervy 5-wicket win over UP Warriorz on February 1.

  • vs Gujarat Giants (Jan 11) - Lost by 4 runs despite Lizelle Lee (86) and Laura Wolvaardt (77). Collapsed in the final over.
  • vs Gujarat Giants (Jan 27) - Lost by 3 runs. Niki Prasad (47 off 25) couldn't get DC over the line.
  • vs UP Warriorz (Feb 1) - Won by 5 wickets. Wolvaardt (47 off 36) and Rodrigues (34* off 18) steadied the chase.

Jemimah has struggled for runs this season—132 runs at an average of 22—though her unbeaten 34 in the qualifier showed signs of form returning. She was also fined Rs 12 lakh for slow over-rate after the January 27 defeat.

Key concern: Death-overs batting. DC have twice collapsed when needing single-digit runs off the final over against GG. That's a mental block.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerTeamRoleKey Stat
Sophie DevineGG-WAll-rounder17 wickets (Purple Cap), defended final overs twice vs DC
Beth MooneyGG-WOpener58 vs DC this season; 718 WPL career runs
Laura WolvaardtDC-WTop-order47 off 36 vs UPW; 77 vs GG in Jan
Nandani SharmaDC-WSpinner14 wickets, only 5-for and hat-trick this WPL
Shree CharaniDC-WSpinner14 wickets, economical middle-overs bowler

Head-to-Head Record

4-4
All-Time Tied
Gujarat dominate 2026 season series
8 total WPL meetings since 2023
GG won both 2026 clashes by 4 runs and 3 runs
Delhi had never lost a season series to GG before 2026

Venue and Conditions

Slow & Low
Surface Type
Bat First
Advantage
19:30 IST
Evening Start

Kotambi Stadium opened in December 2024 and has hosted all Vadodara matches this WPL. The black-soil pitch with high clay content produces slow, low bounce. Spinners get grip; batters struggle to time shots. Teams batting first have had the upper hand—chasing has proven difficult as the pitch deteriorates. Both GG wins over DC came at this venue.

Why Gujarat Giants Are Favourites

Key Factors
12-0 head-to-head this season - Both wins at this venue; both in final-over thrillers
2Sophie Devine's death bowling - 17 wickets, defended 6 and 9 runs in last overs vs DC
3Superior top-order - Mooney (58 vs DC) and Gardner provide stability DC lacks
4Spin strength - Gayakwad and Wareham suit the slow Kotambi pitch
5Momentum - First-ever win over MI has lifted confidence

Our Prediction

The numbers are stark: GG have beaten DC twice this season in matches that went down to the final over, and Sophie Devine has been the difference both times. Delhi's big-match experience is real—three finals prove that—but they've never converted that experience into a trophy.

Jemimah Rodrigues is finding form at the right time, but GG's bowling unit is simply more clutch. The slow Kotambi pitch suits Gujarat's spin attack. If they bat first and post 155+, defending becomes achievable with Devine holding the ball at the death. DC will need Wolvaardt or Shafali Verma to fire in the powerplay, then hope Nandani Sharma can restrict GG's middle overs.

Prediction: Gujarat Giants Women to win
Confidence: 57%

Betting Value

Value Thresholds
Gujarat Giants Women (57% probability)
Fair odds: 1.75 | Value threshold: 1.84
Current odds 1.91 - VALUE BET at +4.6% edge
Delhi Capitals Women (43% probability)
Fair odds: 2.33 | Value threshold: 2.44
Would need odds above 2.44 for value - currently 2.00 (no value)
Recommendation: Back GG-W at 1.91 - The +4.6% edge justifies a 0.5-unit stake. The market has this priced as a coin flip. We see value in Gujarat—they've proven they can beat DC under pressure at this venue, twice. The edge is moderate but real.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

GG-W
DC-W