Afghanistan vs India Toss Prediction

Afghanistan vs India in India 2026 · 2nd T20I · Tuesday, 15 September 2026 · 14:00 UTC (19:30 local) · Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi

Toss prediction from this ground's history

What will the toss winner choose?

Bowl first · 70% field-first

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 38 of 53 men's T20 tosses at Arun Jaitley Stadium (71.7%, 2017–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%.

Based on: This ground's toss history
Tosses at this ground: 53
Chose to field: 71.7%
Period: 2017–2026

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

Why bowl first here

Bowl first 70% Bat first 30%

Captains bowl first here. 38 of 53 toss winners have fielded at Arun Jaitley Stadium since 2017 (72%).
Dew is coming. Evening start (19:30 local) with 85% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.
Forecast: 27°C · humidity 85% · clear skies.
Chasing wins about half the time here (28 of 51).
Our call: bowl first — 70%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 10 tosses at Arun Jaitley Stadium

Date	Toss winner	Chose	Match winner	Chased?
2026-05-17	Delhi Capitals	Field	Delhi Capitals	Yes
2026-05-08	Kolkata Knight Riders	Field	Kolkata Knight Riders	Yes
2026-05-05	Delhi Capitals	Bat	Chennai Super Kings	Yes
2026-04-27	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Field	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Yes
2026-04-25	Delhi Capitals	Bat	Punjab Kings	Yes
2026-04-08	Delhi Capitals	Field	Gujarat Titans	No
2026-04-04	Delhi Capitals	Field	Delhi Capitals	Yes
2026-03-01	Zimbabwe	Bat	South Africa	Yes
2026-02-18	South Africa	Field	South Africa	Yes
2026-02-13	Canada	Bat	United Arab Emirates	Yes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

India have chosen to field in 90 of the 131 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).

Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.

Does the toss matter at Arun Jaitley Stadium?

In 51 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 28 (54.9%).

Start: 14:00 UTC · 19:30 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 85% · clear skies

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC. Shown for context; the call above rests on the ground's history.

How this AFG vs IND toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.

A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss tracking approach.

AFG vs IND toss prediction FAQ

What is the AFG vs IND toss prediction?

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 38 of 53 men's T20 tosses at Arun Jaitley Stadium (71.7%, 2017–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Arun Jaitley Stadium?

In 51 decided men's T20 matches at Arun Jaitley Stadium in our data, the side batting second won 28 (54.9%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added within minutes of the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. This page updates within minutes of it, and the result is recorded against the call above.

More toss predictions

Last updated: 2026-09-13. Published 2026-09-13.

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