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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ WPL
Delhi Capitals Women cricket team logo

DC-W

VS
UP Warriorz cricket team logo

UPW

Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara

Womens Premier League

Delhi Capitals Women vs UP Warriorz Match Prediction

Last updated: 1 February 2026

Golden Tip Model tips Delhi Capitals Women at 68% (fair odds 1.47)
Analysis by Vikram Sharma ยท Quantitative Strategist ยท

Desperation meets capitulation. Delhi Capitals Women face UP Warriorz in Match 20 of WPL 2026 at Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara - a must-win clash with vastly different stakes. DC-W sit fifth on 6 points, needing victory to stay in the playoff race. UPW are already eliminated with just 2 points from 9 matches. Laura Wolvaardt leads WPL 2026 with 111 runs at a strike rate of 116.84. The head-to-head stands at 5-2 in DC-W favour, including a 66-run demolition earlier this season.

Delhi Capitals Women 2025/2026: Building Momentum

After a shaky start, DC-W have found their rhythm. Their WPL 2026 campaign shows clear improvement:

  • WPL 2026 (Jan-Feb) - 3 wins, 4 losses. Lost opener to MI-W by 31 runs, struggled early but won 3 of last 5 matches.
  • Key victories - Beat RCB-W by 25 runs (Arundhati Reddy 4/21), crushed UPW by 66 runs, edged GG-W by 4 wickets.
  • Recent run - Won last 2 of 3 matches, momentum building at crucial stage.

Captain Jemimah Rodrigues was recently fined Rs 12 lakh for slow over-rate against Gujarat Giants - a sign of the team intensity under pressure. The bowling unit has been exceptional: Radha Yadav leads WPL 2026 with 12 wickets, while Arundhati Reddy has 10 wickets at economy 6.50.

Key concern: Batting inconsistency. Wolvaardt (111 runs) is carrying the load, but middle-order contributions have been patchy.

UP Warriorz 2025/2026: Season of Struggle

This has been a forgettable campaign for UP Warriorz. Their record tells the story:

  • WPL 2026 (Jan-Feb) - 1 win, 8 losses. Only victory came against Gujarat Giants by 3 wickets.
  • Current streak - Lost last 5 consecutive matches, including heavy defeats to MI-W (33 runs), RCB-W (41 runs), and GG-W (6 wickets).
  • DC-W matchup - Lost by 66 runs earlier this season (107 all out vs 173/3).

The biggest blow: Phoebe Litchfield is OUT for the remainder of the tournament with an ankle injury. Litchfield was UPW second-highest scorer with 243 runs - her absence leaves a gaping hole. Amy Jones has been called up as replacement but cannot replicate that impact immediately.

Key concern: With Litchfield gone and Tahlia McGrath underperforming (130 runs, struggling for consistency), UPW batting is dangerously thin. Only Meg Lanning (215 runs) provides genuine resistance.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerTeamRoleKey Stat
Laura WolvaardtDC-WOpening Batter111 runs, SR 116.84 (WPL leader)
Radha YadavDC-WLeft-arm Spinner12 wickets (most in WPL 2026)
Arundhati ReddyDC-WMedium Pacer10 wickets, economy 6.50
Meg LanningUPWBatter (Captain)215 runs, former DC captain
Grace HarrisUPWAll-rounderKey finisher, explosive lower order

Head-to-Head Record

5-2
DC-W Lead
Dominant head-to-head for Delhi
7 total WPL meetings since 2023
DC-W crushed UPW by 66 runs earlier this season (173/3 vs 107 all out)
UPW 2 wins came in 2023 - none in last 5 meetings

Venue and Conditions

Batting-friendly
Surface Type
4-1
DC-W Record Here
19:30 IST
Evening Start

Kotambi Stadium in Vadodara has been a happy hunting ground for DC-W with a 4-1 record at this venue. The pitch typically favours batters, with scores of 150+ common in WPL matches. Evening start means dew could be a factor in the second innings - teams winning the toss often prefer to chase. DC-W familiarity with these conditions is a notable advantage.

Why Delhi Capitals Women Are Favourites

Key Factors
1Must-win motivation - DC-W need this to stay in playoff race; UPW are already eliminated
2Litchfield absence - UPW lose their 2nd highest scorer (243 runs) to injury
3Superior bowling - Radha Yadav (12 wkts) and Arundhati Reddy (10 wkts) vs depleted UPW attack
4H2H dominance - DC-W lead 5-2, including 66-run win this season
5Venue record - DC-W are 4-1 at Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara

Our Prediction

Meg Lanning knows DC-W inside out - she captained them in 2023. But knowledge alone cannot compensate for a depleted squad. Without Litchfield 243 runs, UPW batting is now Lanning-dependent. If she fails, no one else can consistently score 40+.

DC-W bowling combination of Radha Yadav and Arundhati Reddy has 22 wickets between them this tournament. Against a batting lineup missing its second-best performer, expect them to dominate. The form trend (DC-W won 3 of last 5, UPW lost 5 straight) and situational pressure (must-win vs dead rubber) both favour Delhi heavily.

Prediction: Delhi Capitals Women to win
Confidence: 68%

Betting Value

Value Thresholds
Delhi Capitals Women (68% probability)
Fair odds: 1.47 | Value threshold: 1.54
Current odds 1.63 - VALUE BET at +6.7% edge
UP Warriorz (32% probability)
Fair odds: 3.13 | Value threshold: 3.28
Would need odds above 3.28 for value - currently 2.32 (no value)
Recommendation: Back DC-W at 1.63 - The +6.7% edge justifies a 1-unit stake. DC-W combination of must-win motivation, superior bowling, H2H dominance, and UPW Litchfield absence creates genuine value. The market has underpriced DC-W advantages.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

DC-W
UPW

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