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🇦🇪 ILT20
Sharjah Warriorz cricket team logo

SW

VS
Desert Vipers cricket team logo

DV

WINNER
Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Sharjah

International League T20 2025-26

Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers Match Recap

Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist

Result: Desert Vipers won by 5 wickets. SW 140/7 vs DV 144/5.

Our Bet: Desert Vipers @ 1.54 — Won


Match Summary

Desert Vipers completed a comfortable chase to eliminate Sharjah Warriorz from playoff contention. The Warriorz batted first and managed 140/7—well below the Sharjah venue average of 170. Johnson Charles (43 off 37) top-scored but couldn't accelerate when needed. The middle order failed to capitalise on a solid platform.

Max Holden was the star of the chase with an unbeaten 66 off 46 balls (9 fours, 1 six). After Sam Curran (25) fell to Harmeet Singh, Hasan Nawaz (25* off 14) joined Holden to seal the win with 3 balls to spare. This was DV's 8th win from 10 matches—the first team in ILT20 history to achieve that feat.

Analysis Review

Validated: Desert Vipers' batting depth. Holden (66*) delivered exactly as predicted. When Curran fell, there was always another match-winner ready. The "batting depth" thesis proved correct.

Validated: Sharjah's chase-friendly conditions. Correctly identified that "all 7 matches at Sharjah have been won by the chasing team." DV won the toss, bowled first, and chased comfortably. The venue analysis was spot-on.

Validated: Sharjah Warriorz's batting struggles. Johnson Charles (43) was their only contributor. Flagged his "SR 110.44 below par for T20"—he scored at 116.2 here but still couldn't carry the team.

Overestimated: The expected score. Predicted "170-173 average" but SW only managed 140/7. DV's bowling was more restrictive than anticipated.

Betting Outcome

Bet won. +0.81 units profit on a 1.5-unit stake at 1.54 odds. The 10.1% edge converted. DV's dominance was clinical—8 wins from 10 confirms they're the team to beat in ILT20 2025-26. This result also ended Sharjah's slim playoff hopes. Form is real, and backing the form team delivered.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

SW
DV

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