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Kent vs Nottinghamshire Toss Prediction (KEN vs NOT)

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Friday, 26 June 2026 · 23:30 IST · The Spitfire Ground, St Lawrence · Cricket

Toss prediction page launched 25 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Kent vs Nottinghamshire match preview on 25 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed
Our predicted decision
bat first
From the article: "Batting first carries a mild edge at Canterbury, so expect the toss winner to bat."
What happened
Nottinghamshire elected to field
Stamped 27 Jun, 00:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Nottinghamshire won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at The Spitfire Ground, St Lawrence

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 42% of the time here

The toss went Nottinghamshire's way — they chose to field, so Nottinghamshire chase. In this branch our model makes Kent 47.2% — fair odds 2.12 (NOT 1.89) against a pre-toss baseline of 44.2%.

How we made this Kent vs Nottinghamshire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for KEN vs NOT: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Kent vs Nottinghamshire prediction →

KEN vs NOT toss prediction FAQ

Who won the KEN vs NOT toss?

Nottinghamshire won the KEN vs NOT toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in KEN vs NOT?

Nottinghamshire chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the KEN vs NOT match odds?

Meaningfully. The Spitfire Ground, St Lawrence favours batting first (chases succeed only 42% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 3 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →