T20 World Cup 2026 Winner Prediction | Odds
Last updated: 30 September 2026 · Tournament concluded: India champions
The T20 World Cup 2026 is over. India are champions, and our pre-tournament calls landed a mixed but honest scorecard.
We flagged West Indies at 21.00 as the best value bet; they reached the Super 8 and went out there. We rated New Zealand underrated at 17.00, and they went all the way to the final, our strongest read of the tournament. We also called Afghanistan a 29.00 dark horse; they went out in the group stage. We were wrong on that one. We own it.
India won the final as 1.45 favorites (71% implied) against New Zealand with a dominant 96-run victory. Our model had them at 69% against the market’s 71%, a small negative edge. So while India were the rightful favourite, there was no betting value in backing them. The final was played in Ahmedabad, where India’s home advantage told.
How the Knockouts Played Out: India Champions
New Zealand won their semi-final to reach the final, and India came through their semi-final against England, with Sanju Samson making 89. In the decider at Ahmedabad, India were too strong, winning by 96 runs to lift the trophy.
Semi-Finals and the Final
New Zealand, our best pre-tournament value call, backed up their strong tournament run with a semi-final win.
Sanju Samson's 89 carried India past England and into a home final against New Zealand.
Samson 89, Kishan 54 and Abhishek 52 powered India to 255, then Bumrah's 4/15 broke New Zealand apart. India's 3rd T20 World Cup title, and the first successful defence.
| Team | M | W | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌴 West Indies | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1.800 |
| 🏴 England | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0.150 |
| 🏴 Scotland | 3 | 1 | 2 | −0.050 |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | 3 | 1 | 2 | −0.700 |
| 🇳🇵 Nepal | 2 | 0 | 0 | −1.854 |
| Team | M | W | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇿🇦 South Africa | 3 | 3 | 6 | +2.125 |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0.701 |
| 🇦🇪 UAE | 2 | 1 | 2 | −1.030 |
| 🇦🇫 Afghanistan | 4 | 2 | 4 | +0.125 |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | 3 | 0 | 0 | −2.100 |
Key Results That Changed the Odds
💥 Sri Lanka 184/2 beat Australia 181 (8 wickets), Feb 16
AUSTRALIA ELIMINATED. Pathum Nissanka's century (107*) sealed Australia's fate. Sri Lanka now 3-0 with 6 points, guaranteed Super 8s. Australia 1-2 and can't qualify. Biggest overnight shock.
🔥 Zimbabwe 169/2 beat Australia 146 all out (23 runs), Feb 13
Brian Bennett 64* and Blessing Muzarabani 4/17 stunned the 2021 champions. Australia's second T20 WC loss to Zimbabwe. Their Super 8 spot is now in serious jeopardy.
🔥 West Indies 196/6 beat England 166 (30 runs), Feb 11
Shimron Hetmyer's power hitting and WI's bowling depth exposed England. Combined with Shepherd's 5/20 hat-trick vs Scotland, WI are the most complete team after India.
🔥 Sri Lanka 225/5 beat Oman 120/9 (105 runs), Feb 12
Tournament-high 225/5. Dasun Shanaka hit the fastest T20I fifty (19 balls, five sixes). Kusal Mendis 61, Pavan Rathnayake 60. Statement performance from the co-hosts.
⚡ South Africa 187/6 tied Afghanistan 187; SA won a double Super Over, Feb 11
The most dramatic match of the tournament. Afghanistan fought hard but are now 0-2. SA showed resilience under pressure, a trait that wins knockout cricket.
Our Track Record: Why You Should Listen
41/48
Match Predictions Correct
85.4%
Accuracy Rate
Our AI model called 41 of 48 T20 World Cup 2026 matches correctly. We also flagged West Indies and New Zealand as pre-tournament value bets: New Zealand reached the final, and West Indies went out in the Super 8. See all our match predictions here.
How Our Predictions Have Shifted
Predictions are not set in stone. Here is how our T20 World Cup winner prediction moved during the group stage, and why. The tables below are a snapshot from February 2026 and are no longer updated.
| Team | Jan 9 | Feb 14 | Shift | Why It Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌴 West Indies | 9% @ 21.00 | 12% @ 17.00 | ↑ +3% | 2-0, Shepherd 5/20 hat-trick, 30-run win over England. Most complete team after India. |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 8% @ 17.00 | 11% @ 13.00 | ↑ +3% | 2-0, Seifert 154 runs (tournament leader), 10-wicket win vs UAE. Dominant start. |
| 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | 3% @ 51.00 | 6% @ 29.00 | ↑ +3% | 2-0, 225/5 (tournament high), +3.125 NRR (best). Replaced AFG as our dark horse. |
| 🇿🇦 South Africa | 12% @ 6.50 | 14% @ 6.50 | ↑ +2% | 2-0, survived double Super Over vs AFG. Resilience under pressure boosts knockout rating. |
| 🇵🇰 Pakistan | 6% @ 17.70 | 7% @ 11.00 | ↑ +1% | 2-0, solid in Sri Lanka. Slight upgrade but market moved faster. Now overpriced. |
| 🇮🇳 India | 35% @ 2.67 | 34% @ 2.62 | ↓ −1% | 2-0 and dominant, but other teams impressed too. Edge worsened: market moved from -2.5% to -4%. |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | 16% @ 5.50 | 8% @ 9.00 | ↓ −8% | Lost to Zimbabwe. Cummins back issues. May not make Super 8. Biggest downgrade. |
| 🏴 England | 8% @ 7.00 | 4% @ 9.00 | ↓ −4% | 1-1, lost to WI by 30. Worst NRR among Group C contenders. May not qualify. |
| 🇦🇫 Afghanistan | 5% @ 29.00 | ~0% eliminated | ↓ −5% | 0-2. Lost to NZ and SA (double Super Over). Naveen injured. Our dark horse call was wrong. |
Pre-tournament predictions published January 9, 2026. In-tournament update February 19, 2026; the table is no longer updated.
📊 Key Takeaway (February 2026)
In February, our two main value picks (West Indies and New Zealand) had been upgraded after strong tournament starts. Our dark horse (Afghanistan) was a miss, replaced by Sri Lanka. The biggest market shift: Australia halved from 16% → 8% after losing to Zimbabwe. We also read England, then priced at 11% with qualification in doubt, as overrated; they went on to reach the semi-finals, where India beat them by 7 runs.
Outright Odds & Value: How the Market Moved
Preserved as a reference snapshot from during the tournament. India ultimately won the title; the tables and notes below show how the outright market and our model moved across the group and Super 8 stages.
Current market odds vs our updated AI model probabilities. Green = value, Red = avoid. Sorted by edge.
| Team | Form | Our Prob | Market | Best Odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌴 West Indies | ELIM | 0% | 0% | - | ELIMINATED |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | RUNNERS-UP | LOST | 31% | 2.98 | LOST ❌ |
| 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | ELIM | 0% | 0% | - | ELIMINATED |
| 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | ELIM | 0% | 0% | - | ELIMINATED |
| 🇿🇦 South Africa | SF | 25% | 22% | 3.25 | +3.0% |
| 🇵🇰 Pakistan | SF | 8% | 5% | 21.0 | +3.0% |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | 1-2 | 0% | 11% | 9.00 | ELIMINATED |
| 🇮🇳 India | CHAMPIONS | WON | 69% | 1.45 | WON ✅ |
| 🏴 England | SF | 18% | 11% | 4.50 | −4.0% |
Market odds from Polymarket and major bookmakers, February 22, 2026. Odds change daily. Always check Oddschecker for live prices. Use our implied probability calculator to convert any odds.
Best T20 World Cup Betting Sites
Compare cricket betting sites for upcoming series and tournaments. These platforms accept Indian bettors with competitive odds and fast withdrawals.
How Our Pre-Tournament Bets Landed
The T20 World Cup 2026 is over. The cards below are a retrospective audit of the outright calls we made before the tournament, not live betting advice. India won the title; here is how our pre-tournament reads held up.
Best Value: Out in the Super 8
West Indies @ 17.00
+6.0%
Edge
0.5u
Stake
We flagged West Indies at 21.00 pre-tournament as our best value call, and they justified it by coming through to the Super 8 as one of the tournament's more balanced sides. The title ultimately went to India, but the pre-tournament price on West Indies was the right read on their run.
Value Bet: Lost the Final
New Zealand @ 13.00
+3.0%
Edge
0.5u
Stake
Our pre-tournament pick at 17.00 looking strong. Tim Seifert leads all scorers with 154 runs. They beat Afghanistan by 5 wickets and crushed UAE by 10 wickets (175/0). ICC tournament specialists who always outperform expectations.
New Dark Horse
Sri Lanka @ 29.00
+2.5%
Edge
0.25u
Stake
The tournament's most explosive team. Best NRR (+3.125), highest score (225/5), Shanaka's record-fast fifty. Co-host advantage for Super 8 and knockouts. Maheesh Theekshana's spin on home pitches is lethal. The market has barely noticed.
Avoid: India Won the Title
India @ 1.45
-2.0%
Edge
India reached the final and dominated with a 96-run victory. The 69% implied probability reflected limited upside for bettors. They became the first defending champion to win the T20 WC. Home advantage in Ahmedabad was correctly priced in by the market.
Biggest Avoid: Reached the Semis
England @ 9.00
-7.0%
Edge
The worst value in the market. England are 1-1 with the worst NRR (-0.650) among teams on 2 points in Group C. Scotland and Italy are above them. They may not even reach the Super 8, yet bookmakers still imply 11% to win the whole thing. Staggering mispricing.
Our Miss: Eliminated
Afghanistan, Pre-Tournament Dark Horse
We flagged Afghanistan at 29.00 as a dark horse. They lost to NZ by 5 wickets and to SA via double Super Over. Naveen-ul-Haq is injured. 0-2 and virtually eliminated. The lesson: form is temporary, and 2024 semi-final pedigree did not carry over. We take this miss on the chin.
Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We use 0.5u for edges between 2-5%, 0.25u for edges near 2%, and 1u for edges above 5%.
Team-by-Team Analysis: How the Contenders Fared
The team-by-team notes below are preserved from our tournament coverage as a reference on how each contender’s campaign unfolded. India won the title, beating New Zealand in the final.
India: Dominant, and Champions
India
Tournament form: Beat USA by 29 runs (161/9 vs 132/8). Crushed Namibia by 93 runs (209/9 vs 116). Suryakumar Yadav hit 84* vs USA. Mohammed Siraj replaced injured Harshit Rana and took wickets immediately.
Strengths: +3.050 NRR (highest in tournament). Home advantage across 5 Indian venues. Bumrah, Varun Chakaravarthy, and Kuldeep Yadav give them the deepest spin options. Batting firepower with SKY, Abhishek Sharma, Hardik Pandya.
Concerns: No Kohli, Rohit, or Jadeja (all retired from T20Is). Suryakumar untested as captain in ICC knockouts. Bumrah workload risk across a 30-day tournament.
Final result: India won as heavy favorites with a dominant 96-run victory. At 1.45 (69% implied), backers paid a 2-point premium. Fair price was 1.49 (67%). Home advantage in Ahmedabad proved decisive as India became the first defending T20 WC champions. Favorite justified but minimal value confirmed.
West Indies: Our Value Pick Delivers
West Indies
Tournament form: Beat Scotland by 35 runs (182/5 vs 147) with Shepherd's historic 5/20 hat-trick. Beat England by 30 runs (196/6 vs 166). Hetmyer 64 off 36 was devastating. Two convincing wins against very different opposition.
Strengths: Most complete bowling attack in the tournament (Shepherd, Holder, Hosein, Joseph, Motie). Power batting depth (Pooran, Hetmyer, Charles, Powell). Two-time T20 WC champions (2012, 2016). They know how to win this tournament.
Super 8 path: Likely in Group 1 with India, South Africa, and Zimbabwe/Australia. Tough group, but WI have beaten every quality opponent they have faced so far.
Final verdict: Our pre-tournament call at 21.00 did not land: WI reached the Super 8 but went out there, behind South Africa and India. India won the title.
New Zealand: The Quiet Contenders
New Zealand
Tournament form: Beat Afghanistan by 5 wickets (183/5 chasing 182/6) and destroyed UAE by 10 wickets (175/0 chasing 173/6). Tim Seifert leads all scorers with 154 runs including 89*. Finn Allen opened with him in that record 175-run partnership.
Strengths: Seifert is in career-best form. Jacob Duffy (#2 ranked T20I bowler). Mitchell Santner's captaincy is composed. They have reached knockouts in 5 of the last 6 ICC events. The market never learns.
Super 8 path: Group 2 with Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Scotland/England. Very favourable draw. They should reach semi-finals from this group.
Final verdict: We recommended NZ at 17.00 pre-tournament. Excellent value! They reached the final, losing to India by 96 runs. Our analysis of their ICC tournament pedigree proved accurate.
South Africa: Resilient but Fairly Priced
South Africa
Tournament form: Crushed Canada by 57 runs (213/4 vs 156/8). Survived the tournament's most dramatic match vs Afghanistan (tied at 187, then won a double Super Over). That resilience under pressure matters in knockout cricket.
Strengths: 2024 T20 WC finalists. Aiden Markram's leadership in crisis moments. Heinrich Klaasen is a match-winner on turning pitches. Keshav Maharaj provides left-arm spin.
Concerns: Tony de Zorzi hamstring injury. The "choker" narrative lingers. Have they truly shed it? Lost 2024 final to India.
Betting verdict: Fairly priced at 6.50 (15% implied vs our 14%). Tiny negative edge. No value, but no trap either. Neutral: pass.
Sri Lanka: The New Dark Horse
Sri Lanka
Tournament form: Beat Ireland by 20 runs, posted tournament-high 225/5 vs Oman, then eliminated Australia by 8 wickets (184/2 vs 181). Pathum Nissanka's century (107*) was statement-making. 3-0 with 6 points and best NRR (+3.125). Qualified for Super 8s.
Strengths: Co-host advantage: Super 8 matches and potential semi/final in Colombo and Kandy. Maheesh Theekshana's mystery spin on home pitches. Explosive batting depth. Experience from 2014 T20 WC title.
Concerns: Wanindu Hasaranga ruled out with hamstring tear (replaced by Dushan Hemantha). Quality of opposition so far (Ireland, Oman).
Betting verdict: Our new dark horse pick after Australia went out. At 29.00 (3.5% implied) our model had them at 8%, on co-host advantage and a 3-0 group record. It did not land: Sri Lanka lost all three Super 8 games.
Pakistan: Steady but Overrated
Pakistan
Tournament form: Beat Netherlands by 3 wickets (148/7 chasing 147) and USA by 32 runs (190/9 vs 158/8). Sahibzada Farhan has 120 runs in 2 matches. Solid but not spectacular.
Neutral venue factor: All Pakistan matches in Sri Lanka due to BCCI-PCB agreement. If Pakistan reach the final, it moves from Ahmedabad (132,000 capacity) to Colombo, removing India's home crowd fortress.
Concerns: Playing exclusively in Sri Lanka limits home advantage. Shaheen Afridi's form and fitness in humid conditions. Group A is straightforward but Super 8 Group 2 includes NZ and SL.
Betting verdict: At 11.00 (10% implied), Pakistan are 3 points overpriced vs our 7%. They must beat India on Feb 15 to show they are genuine contenders. Pass until proven.
Australia: ELIMINATED (The 2021 Champions Are Out)
Australia
Tournament obituary: Beat Ireland by 67 runs, lost to Zimbabwe by 23 runs, then lost to Sri Lanka by 8 wickets (181 vs 184/2). Pathum Nissanka's century (107*) was the final nail. Australia are eliminated with 1 win from 3 matches.
How it all went wrong: Defending champions cannot finish in top 2 of Group B. Sri Lanka (6 points) and Zimbabwe (4 points) have qualified. Ireland (2 points, 1 match remaining) can still overtake Australia mathematically.
The brutal reality: Pat Cummins' back issues, Mitchell Marsh's form slump, and mental fragility after early setbacks. Two losses to Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka in the same World Cup. Unthinkable pre-tournament.
Betting verdict: Bookmakers still have them at 9.00 (11% implied). this is the worst mispricing in cricket betting history. Australia are eliminated. Any bet on them is dead money. Withdraw all stakes immediately.
England: Beat Our Rating to Reach the Semis
England
A shaky group stage: England stumbled early, scraping past Nepal and losing to West Indies, and for a while looked in genuine danger of an early exit.
They turned it around: from that position England recovered through the knockout rounds all the way to the semi-finals, where they ran into India and Sanju Samson's 89.
Our call missed: we rated England the biggest overlay on the board and advised avoiding them at their price. They proved us wrong by reaching the last four. We own it: a clear miss on our pre-tournament read.
Zimbabwe: The Fairytale
Zimbabwe
Tournament form: Beat Oman by 8 wickets (106/2 chasing 103) then stunned Australia by 23 runs. Brian Bennett's unbeaten 64 and Muzarabani's 4/17 were world-class performances. Their second ever T20 WC win over Australia.
Reality check: Beautiful story but winning the tournament requires beating India, SA, and WI in Super 8 Group 1. That is an enormous ask. Enjoy the ride, but stake accordingly.
Betting verdict: At 67.00+ (1% implied), there is tiny value if they make Super 8, but this is a lottery ticket, not a serious bet. 0.1u fun bet only.
Super 8: The Path to the Final
The top 2 from each group advanced to two Super 8 groups. Pre-tournament seedings determined placement, not group-stage performance. This was the Super 8 as it was played:
Super 8 Group 1 (India venues)
🇮🇳 India (Group A winner)
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe (Group B, took Australia's seed)
🌴 West Indies (Group C winner)
🇿🇦 South Africa (Group D)
Group of Death. South Africa (three wins) and India (two) went through to the semis; West Indies (one) and Zimbabwe went out.
Super 8 Group 2 (Sri Lanka venues)
🏴 England (Group C)
🇳🇿 New Zealand (Group D winner)
🇵🇰 Pakistan (Group A)
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka (Group B winner)
England (three wins) and New Zealand went through to the semis; Pakistan and Sri Lanka went out.
Note: Zimbabwe qualified from Group B ahead of Australia and took Australia's seed in Group 1; England qualified from Group C and kept their own seed in Group 2.
How the Super 8 Draw Played Out
Group 1 was brutal. India, West Indies and South Africa in one group meant one genuine contender went out before the semis. It was West Indies: South Africa won all three games and India two.
Group 2 went to England. England won all three of their Super 8 games. New Zealand went through with them and beat South Africa by 9 wickets in the first semi-final.
Sri Lanka’s home advantage did not tell. Sri Lanka lost all three Super 8 games, and Pakistan also missed the semi-finals, so the final stayed in Ahmedabad.
The Pakistan Factor: The Venue Wildcard That Never Triggered
Under the BCCI-PCB neutral venue agreement, Pakistan played all their matches in Sri Lanka, and a clause would have moved the final from Ahmedabad to Colombo had they reached it. In the end Pakistan did not make the final, so the wildcard never came into play: the decider stayed at the Narendra Modi Stadium, where India’s 130,000-strong home crowd advantage held firm in their 96-run win over New Zealand.
Expert Predictions vs Our Model
| Source | Pick | Reasoning | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our Model | West Indies @ 17.00 | +6% edge, best value | ✅ 2-0 |
| Our Model | New Zealand @ 13.00 | +3% edge, underrated | ✅ 2-0 |
| Our Model (pre-tournament) | Afghanistan @ 29.00 | Dark horse, spin attack | ❌ 0-2 |
| Aakash Chopra | India | “Spin-heavy squad suits conditions” | ✅ 2-0 |
| Irfan Pathan | India | “Varun Chakaravarthy trump card” | ✅ 2-0 |
| Polymarket ($1M+ volume) | India @ 41% | Defending champions + home | ✅ 2-0 |
| Paddy Power | New Zealand @ 13 | “Best outside tip” | ✅ 2-0 |
Our view: The experts are all backing India, which is exactly why India is 2.50 and offers no value. We look for where the crowd is wrong. West Indies at 17.00 and New Zealand at 13.00 is where the smart money goes.
Historical T20 World Cup Trends
Before placing your outright bet, understand these patterns. They repeat:
No defending champion had won before 2026. India (2024→2026) became the first side to defend the title.
Spin wins in Asia. Of the 4 T20 WCs in the subcontinent (2012, 2014, 2016, 2024), teams with elite spin reached the final every time. Sri Lanka won 2014 with Malinga + Mathews. India won 2024 with Bumrah + Kuldeep.
Dark horses thrive in 20-team formats. Afghanistan reached 2024 semi-finals from nowhere. West Indies won from obscurity in 2012 and 2016. The expanded 20-team format increases upset potential.
Super 8 seedings matter. The draw can make or break campaigns. Group 2 (Sri Lanka venues) historically suits subcontinental teams, which is where NZ, PAK, and SL were seeded.
Odds shorten after the group stage. West Indies moved from 21.00 before the tournament to 17.00 during the group stage.
T20 World Cup 2026 Betting FAQ
Who won T20 World Cup 2026?
India defeated New Zealand by 96 runs in the final on March 8, 2026 at the Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. Jasprit Bumrah took 4/15 for player of the match and Sanju Samson was player of the tournament. It was India's third T20 World Cup title and made them the first team to successfully defend the trophy, having also won 2024.
Were there any value bets in the T20 World Cup 2026?
Yes! We recommended West Indies at 21.00 pre-tournament who reached the semifinals. New Zealand at 2.98 in the final offered some value but fell short against India's home advantage. India at 1.45 proved correct but offered negative edge for bettors.
Should I bet on India to win T20 World Cup 2026?
India won the final as 1.45 favorites with -2% negative edge. Our model gave them 69% vs 71% implied by the odds. Despite home advantage in Ahmedabad, they were slightly overpriced. India became the first team to successfully defend the T20 World Cup.
Did the West Indies value bet pay off?
Partly. We recommended West Indies at 21.00 pre-tournament and they came through the group stage into the Super 8 as we projected, justifying the value call on the way. They did not go all the way — India won the title — but backing them at that price was the right read on their run.
How did the T20 World Cup 2026 knockouts play out?
India beat England in one semi-final, with Sanju Samson making 89, and New Zealand won the other semi-final to set up the title decider. In the final at Ahmedabad, India posted 255/5 and bowled New Zealand out for 159 to win by 96 runs and lift the trophy.
What happened to Afghanistan — were they a bad bet?
Our pre-tournament dark-horse call on Afghanistan at 29.00 did not come off — they went out in the group stage. It was a miss, and we own it. The dark-horse value in the tournament sat elsewhere.
Which dark horses lived up to their price in 2026?
Co-hosts Sri Lanka were the standout early dark horse, topping their group with a strong net run rate, and Zimbabwe produced the fairytale run of the group stage by beating Australia. Neither reached the final, which India won, but both rewarded early each-way interest at long prices.
Where was the T20 World Cup 2026 final played?
The final was played at the Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad on 8 March 2026, with India enjoying home advantage in front of a capacity crowd. A neutral-venue clause would only have moved the final to Colombo had Pakistan reached it; they did not, so the decider stayed in Ahmedabad, where India beat New Zealand by 96 runs.
How accurate were CricketPrediction's calls at the T20 World Cup 2026?
Our live tournament accuracy is shown in the track-record widget on this page. On the outright market we flagged West Indies and New Zealand as pre-tournament value and both reached the latter stages, with New Zealand going all the way to the final; our Afghanistan dark-horse call missed. India, who we had rated slightly overpriced, won the title.
Which bookmaker has the best T20 World Cup odds?
The T20 World Cup 2026 is over, so there are no live odds on it now. While it ran, odds-comparison sites such as Oddschecker listed outright prices across bookmakers, and Polymarket ran a prediction market on the winner.
Final Verdict: Tournament Complete
India Won; Our NZ Pick Reached the Final
Tournament complete: India defeated NZ 96 runs. Our pre-tournament NZ pick (17.00) reached the final and lost it, so the outright bet lost. WI (21.00) went out in the Super 8. India won as the favourite, at a price that offered no betting value.
+6.0%
WI Edge
+3.0%
NZ Edge
+2.5%
SL Edge
-6.0%
India Edge
Summary at the February update
- ● Best Value: West Indies @ 17.00: +6% edge, 2-0, beat England, Shepherd hat-trick
- ● Second Pick: New Zealand @ 13.00: +3% edge, 2-0, Seifert 154 runs
- ● New Dark Horse: Sri Lanka @ 29.00: +2.5% edge, co-hosts, 225/5, best NRR
- ● Avoid: India @ 2.62 (-4%), England @ 9.00 (-7%), Australia @ 9.00 (-3%)
- ● Our Miss: Afghanistan at 29.00: 0-2, eliminated. We own it.
- ● Track Record: 41/48 match predictions correct (85.4%) across the tournament
For the full tournament schedule, current group standings, and all match predictions, see our T20 World Cup 2026 hub page. For daily match-by-match predictions and betting tips, visit our cricket betting tips homepage.
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Odds sourced from Polymarket and major bookmakers, February 16, 2026. Betting involves risk. Please gamble responsibly.