NZ vs SA Toss Prediction
Sunday, 15 March 2026 · 11:45 IST · Bay Oval · T20I
Toss receipt page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our NZ vs SA match preview on 7 March 2026.
Toss Receipt
✓ Decision calledOur predicted decision
bat first
From the article: "Toss: Bat first. Teams batting first have won 11 of 14 T20Is at Bay Oval — a dominant 78.6% win rate. The pitch deteriorates and slows in the second innings, making scores harder to chase. The captain winning the toss should bat without hesitation."
What happened
New Zealand elected to bat
Stamped 7 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
New Zealand won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong
How we made this NZ vs SA toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The receipt above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the field-first scoring method.
Full match prediction
Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for NZ vs SA: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.
Read full NZ vs SA prediction →