Bangladesh vs Pakistan Toss Prediction (BAN vs PAK)

Sunday, 15 March 2026 · 13:45 IST · Shere Bangla National Cricket Stadium · BAN vs PAK ODIs

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Bangladesh vs Pakistan match preview on 13 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Toss: Field first marginally preferred. Shere Bangla's ODI record slightly favours chasing — 62 wins batting second vs 56 batting first. In this series, the team batting second has won both matches."

What happened

Pakistan elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Pakistan won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Shere Bangla National Cricket Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 52% here

The toss went Pakistan's way — they chose to field, so Pakistan chase. In this branch our model makes Bangladesh 44.0% — fair odds 2.27 (PAK 1.79) against a pre-toss baseline of 45.0%.

How we made this Bangladesh vs Pakistan toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss methodology.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for BAN vs PAK: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Bangladesh vs Pakistan prediction →

BAN vs PAK toss prediction FAQ

Who won the BAN vs PAK toss?

Pakistan won the BAN vs PAK toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in BAN vs PAK?

Pakistan chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the BAN vs PAK match odds?

Meaningfully. Shere Bangla National Cricket Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 52% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 1 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →