Barbados Tridents vs Jamaica Kingsmen Toss Prediction
CPL 2026 · 34th Match · Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 00:00 UTC (20:00 local) · Kensington Oval, Bridgetown
Toss prediction from this ground's history
What will the toss winner choose?
Bowl first · 67% field-first
Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 52 of 77 men's T20 tosses at Kensington Oval (67.5%, 2008–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 67%.
- Based on
- This ground's toss history
- Tosses at this ground
- 77
- Chose to field
- 67.5%
- Period
- 2008–2026
Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.
Why bowl first here
- Captains bowl first here. 52 of 77 toss winners have fielded at Kensington Oval since 2008 (68%).
- Dew is coming. Evening start (20:00 local) with 81% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.
- Forecast: 27°C · humidity 81% · partly cloudy · windy.
- Batting first wins here. Only 31 of 73 chasing sides have won (42.5%).
- Our call: bowl first — 67%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.
Last 10 tosses at Kensington Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Barbados Tridents | Field | Barbados Tridents | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Barbados Tridents | Field | Trinbago Knight Riders | No |
| 2025-09-12 | Barbados Royals | Field | Barbados Royals | Yes |
| 2025-09-11 | Barbados Royals | Field | St Kitts and Nevis Patriots | No |
| 2025-09-07 | St Lucia Kings | Field | Barbados Royals | No |
| 2025-09-05 | Antigua and Barbuda Falcons | Field | Antigua and Barbuda Falcons | Yes |
| 2025-09-04 | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Field | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Yes |
| 2024-11-10 | England | Field | England | Yes |
| 2024-11-09 | England | Field | England | Yes |
| 2024-09-17 | Barbados Royals | Field | Barbados Royals | Yes |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Barbados Tridents have chosen to field in 17 of the 37 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).
Jamaica Kingsmen have chosen to field in 3 of the 3 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 3: 3 field).
Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.
Does the toss matter at Kensington Oval?
In 73 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 31 (42.5%).
Start: 00:00 UTC · 20:00 local time (evening match).
Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 81% · partly cloudy · windy
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-11 09:07 UTC. Shown for context; the call above rests on the ground's history.
How this BR vs JAK toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.
A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue pattern model.
BR vs JAK toss prediction FAQ
What is the BR vs JAK toss prediction?
Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 52 of 77 men's T20 tosses at Kensington Oval (67.5%, 2008–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 67%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Kensington Oval?
In 73 decided men's T20 matches at Kensington Oval in our data, the side batting second won 31 (42.5%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added within minutes of the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. This page updates within minutes of it, and the result is recorded against the call above.
More toss predictions
Last updated: 2026-09-11. Published 2026-09-11.
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