Toss predictions
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Guyana Amazon Warriors logo

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua and Barbuda Falcons Toss Prediction (GAW vs ABF)

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons logo

Friday, 18 September 2026 · 05:30 IST · Kensington Oval, Bridgetown · CPL

Toss prediction page launched 15 September 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua and Barbuda Falcons match preview.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
field first
From our match preview: "Toss call: Field first — captains in this format take the chase far more often than not, and on a surface that has misbehaved once already, knowing the target is worth more than guessing at it."
Our toss call
67% field-first at Kensington Oval · 77 tosses · captains chose to field 67.5% · 2008–2026
What happened
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons elected to field
Stamped 26 Sept, 06:37 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 9 wkts ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

Why bowl first here

Bowl first 67% Bat first 33%
  • Captains bowl first here. 52 of 77 toss winners have fielded at Kensington Oval since 2008 (68%).
  • Dew is coming. Evening start (20:00 local) with 79% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.
  • Forecast: 28°C · humidity 79% · clear skies.
  • Batting first wins here. Only 31 of 73 chasing sides have won (42.5%).
  • Our call: bowl first — 67%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 10 tosses at Kensington Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-09-06Barbados TridentsFieldBarbados TridentsYes
2026-09-05Barbados TridentsFieldTrinbago Knight RidersNo
2025-09-12Barbados RoyalsFieldBarbados RoyalsYes
2025-09-11Barbados RoyalsFieldSt Kitts and Nevis PatriotsNo
2025-09-07St Lucia KingsFieldBarbados RoyalsNo
2025-09-05Antigua and Barbuda FalconsFieldAntigua and Barbuda FalconsYes
2025-09-04Guyana Amazon WarriorsFieldGuyana Amazon WarriorsYes
2024-11-10EnglandFieldEnglandYes
2024-11-09EnglandFieldEnglandYes
2024-09-17Barbados RoyalsFieldBarbados RoyalsYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

Does the toss matter at Kensington Oval?

In 73 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 31 (42.5%).

Start: 00:00 UTC · 20:00 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 28°C · humidity 79% · clear skies

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-17 21:07 UTC.

🏟️ What the toss means at Kensington Oval, Bridgetown

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 43.9% of the time here

The toss went Antigua and Barbuda Falcons's way — they chose to field, so Antigua and Barbuda Falcons chase. In this branch our model makes Guyana Amazon Warriors 62.1% — fair odds 1.61 (ABF 2.64) against a pre-toss baseline of 60.1%.

How we made this Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua and Barbuda Falcons toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for GAW vs ABF: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua and Barbuda Falcons prediction →

GAW vs ABF toss prediction FAQ

Who won the GAW vs ABF toss?

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won the GAW vs ABF toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in GAW vs ABF?

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the GAW vs ABF match odds?

Meaningfully. Kensington Oval, Bridgetown favours batting first (chases succeed only 43.9% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

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