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Washington Freedom vs MI New York Toss Prediction (WSF vs MI NY)

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Thursday, 16 July 2026 · 07:00 IST · Oakland Coliseum · MLC

Toss prediction page launched 14 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Washington Freedom vs MI New York match preview on 14 July 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed
Our predicted decision
bat first
From the article: "If we had to call it, we expect the toss winner to bat first and post a defendable total, since this surface rewards setting a score."
What happened
Washington Freedom elected to field
Stamped 16 Jul, 11:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Washington Freedom won by 6 wickets ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Oakland Coliseum

Toss impact: Moderate bat-first ground — chases succeed only 47% of the time here

The toss went Washington Freedom's way — they chose to field, so Washington Freedom chase. In this branch our model makes Washington Freedom 54.0% — fair odds 1.85 (MI NY 2.17) against a pre-toss baseline of 55.0%.

How we made this Washington Freedom vs MI New York toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for WSF vs MI NY: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Washington Freedom vs MI New York prediction →

WSF vs MI NY toss prediction FAQ

Who won the WSF vs MI NY toss?

Washington Freedom won the WSF vs MI NY toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in WSF vs MI NY?

Washington Freedom chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the WSF vs MI NY match odds?

Meaningfully. Oakland Coliseum favours batting first (chases succeed only 47% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 1 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →