Hampshire logo

Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire Toss Prediction (HAM vs NOT)

Nottinghamshire logo

Saturday, 18 July 2026 · 19:00 IST · Edgbaston · Cricket

Toss prediction page launched 16 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire match preview on 16 July 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed
Our predicted decision
bat first
From the article: "Toss: Bat first. The ground's record says setting a total is worth about two points, and there is no dew to argue the other way."
What happened
Nottinghamshire elected to field
Stamped 18 Jul, 19:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Hampshire won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Edgbaston

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 45% of the time here

The toss went Nottinghamshire's way — they chose to field, so Nottinghamshire chase. In this branch our model makes Hampshire 54.0% — fair odds 1.85 (NOT 2.17) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.0%.

How we made this Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the data behind our toss calls.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for HAM vs NOT: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire prediction →

HAM vs NOT toss prediction FAQ

Who won the HAM vs NOT toss?

Nottinghamshire won the HAM vs NOT toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in HAM vs NOT?

Nottinghamshire chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the HAM vs NOT match odds?

Meaningfully. Edgbaston favours batting first (chases succeed only 45% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →