
AH Auckland Hearts

CM Canterbury Magicians
Womens Super Smash
Auckland Hearts vs Canterbury Magicians Match Prediction
Last updated: 13 January 2026
Auckland Hearts host Canterbury Magicians at Eden Park Outer Oval on January 14, seeking their fourth win of the Women's Super Smash 2025-26 campaign. The Hearts demolished the Magicians by 80 runs just four days ago in Christchurch. Canterbury remain winless after five matches and face an uphill battle against a confident Auckland side playing on home turf.
Team Context and Recent Form
Auckland Hearts sit second on the points table with three wins from six matches. Their January 10 victory over Canterbury was comprehensive�posting 171/6 before bowling the Magicians out for just 91. Captain Maddy Green leads the batting with 149 runs at 37.25, while Molly Penfold has been devastating with 7 wickets at an average of 11.85. Brooke Halliday (62) and Prue Catton (51) both scored half-centuries in the previous meeting.
Canterbury Magicians are rooted to the bottom of the table with zero wins from five matches. Their net run rate of -2.957 tells the story�heavy defeats have become routine. They collapsed for 66 all out against Northern Brave on January 8, then 91 all out against Auckland two days later. Izzy Sharp has been carrying the batting single-handedly with 186 runs at 46.50, but receives minimal support. When Sharp fails, Canterbury struggle to post competitive totals.
Key Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Role | Form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Green | AH | Bat | 149 runs @ 37.25, SR 120 |
| Molly Penfold | AH | Bowl | 7 wkts @ 11.85, Econ 6.38 |
| Brooke Halliday | AH | Bat | 62 vs CM (Jan 10) |
| Izzy Sharp | CM | Bat | 186 runs @ 46.50 |
| Melissa Banks | CM | Bowl | 5 wickets this season |
Our Prediction
Auckland Hearts are the clear pick at 74% probability. The class gap is significant�Canterbury have been bowled out twice in four days (66 and 91), while Auckland have multiple match-winners in form. Eden Park's short boundaries (62m straight) favour Auckland's aggressive batting approach. Canterbury would need Sharp to produce something exceptional and their bowlers to dramatically outperform recent efforts.
Betting Value
Auckland Hearts at 1.45 offers solid value with a +5.03% edge. The market implies 69%, but Canterbury's winless record and recent collapses suggest the true probability is closer to 74-75%. This is a 1-unit play. The only variance risk is weather�possible afternoon showers could shorten the match�but even in reduced overs, Auckland's depth should prevail.
Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.