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Brisbane Heat cricket team logo

BH

PREDICTED
VS
Sydney Thunder cricket team logo

ST

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane, Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane

Big Bash League

Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder Match Prediction

Last updated: 3 January 2026

Close Call Model tips Brisbane Heat at 59% (fair odds 1.69)
Prediction: Brisbane Heat (59%)
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Brisbane Heat are predicted to win this match at a 66% confidence level, making it a competitive contest with a slight edge to one side. With only 36% of teams batting first choosing to chase at the Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, it may be advantageous for either captain to win the toss and opt to bat first. In the powerplay, Sydney Thunder boast a higher run rate but concede more runs than Brisbane Heat, who could capitalise on this with disciplined bowling in the final overs of the Powerplay. The outcome of this match will likely be determined by which team can maintain their momentum and execute their strategies effectively throughout the game.

Win Probability

BH
ST

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase

Phase Comparison

Powerplay SR

BH
ST

Middle Overs SR

BH
ST

Death Overs SR

BH
ST

Death Economy

BH
ST

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