Cricket match action
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Brisbane Heat cricket team logo

BH

WINNER
VS
Sydney Thunder cricket team logo

ST

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane,

Big Bash League

Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder Match Recap

Last updated: 12 January 2026

Analysis by Vikram Sharma ยท Quantitative Strategist ยท

Result: Brisbane Heat won by 7 wickets. ST 180/6 vs BH 183/3.

Our Prediction: Brisbane Heat โ€” Correct


Pre-match analysis published on 10 January 2026:

The data leans towards Brisbane Heat, though margins are tight.

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane rewards teams setting a target - chasers have struggled here (36% win rate).

Sydney Thunder come out swinging in powerplays, averaging 8.58 runs per over. Sydney Thunder strike early with the new ball, going at 9.08 economy in powerplays.

Between overs 7-15, Brisbane Heat tick along nicely at 8.63 RPO, setting up explosive finishes.

Sydney Thunder have the edge in the death overs, with bowlers going at just 9.55.

Back Brisbane Heat with confidence at 57%.

Win Probability

BH
ST

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase