Indian Premier League
Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Match Result & Analysis
DC Delhi Capitals
GT Gujarat Titans
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
Our pre-match prediction 🎯 11/23 IPL predictions correct📝 Pre-Match Key Takeaways
- • Delhi Capitals predicted to win with 57% probability
- • Sameer Rizvi has scored 160 runs in 2 matches (70* vs LSG, 90 vs MI) — among the leading run-scorers this season
- • GT are 0-2 and Shubman Gill missed the last match with a muscle spasm — his fitness is the key variable
- • DC have won the last 3 meetings against GT and are playing at home in Delhi
- • Back DC if odds stay at 1.85 or above — 5.7% edge, rising to 7.6% if DC chase
Gujarat Titans won by 1 run
We predicted Delhi Capitals at 57%
How our prediction shifts based on batting order. Plan your bet before the toss.
- Gill fit and firing — GT's batting transforms with their captain back, shifts GT +3-4%
- Rashid Khan dominates the middle overs — GT's strongest weapon against DC's middle order, +2-3% for GT
- DC forced to defend — they have chased in both wins this season, untested setting targets
- Rizvi fails early — DC's form depends heavily on one batter right now
Our AI model predicts Delhi Capitals to beat Gujarat Titans with 57% probability in Match 14 at the Arun Jaitley Stadium. DC are 2-0 with dominant chasing performances, powered by Sameer Rizvi's 160 runs in two matches. GT arrive in Delhi winless after two defeats and with captain Shubman Gill's fitness uncertain after a muscle spasm.
Can Delhi Capitals' Batting Form Overcome Their Untested Bowling?
DC have won both matches this season by chasing, and they have done it with authority. Against Lucknow Super Giants on April 1, they hunted down 142 with Sameer Rizvi scoring an unbeaten 70 and Tristan Stubbs adding 39 not out in a 119-run unbroken partnership. Against Mumbai Indians on April 4, Rizvi smashed 90 off 51 balls with 7 fours and 7 sixes to earn Player of the Match.
Rizvi is the story of DC's season so far. With 160 runs in two innings, he is among the leading run-scorers in IPL 2026. Pathum Nissanka has provided solid starts (44 off 30 vs MI), and KL Rahul anchors the top order. Captain Axar Patel adds left-arm spin depth to the batting lineup.
The question mark is DC's bowling. They bowled out LSG for 141, but MI made 162/6 — neither was a high-scoring total. Against GT's batting lineup with Gill potentially returning, DC's attack will face a stiffer test. Kuldeep Yadav and Lungi Ngidi are the key threats.
Gujarat Titans Need Gill's Return to Overcome an 0-2 Start
GT have struggled in IPL 2026. They lost to Punjab Kings by 3 wickets despite posting 162/6, and then fell 6 runs short chasing 211 against Rajasthan Royals. Sai Sudharsan's 73 against RR was the bright spot — the only GT batter to pass 50 in either match.
The biggest concern is captain Shubman Gill. He missed the RR match with a muscle spasm, leaving Rashid Khan to captain. GT's management expects Gill to be fit for April 8, but match fitness after a spasm is never guaranteed. Without Gill, GT's top order relies entirely on Sudharsan and Jos Buttler, who has not fired yet.
GT's bowling has been competitive. Kagiso Rabada and Mohammed Siraj provide pace, and Rashid Khan remains one of the IPL's best spinners. But they have conceded 165 and 210 in their two matches — the bowling cannot keep leaking runs if GT want to stay in the playoff race.
Key Matchups: Rizvi's Power vs Rashid Khan's Guile
Sameer Rizvi vs Rashid Khan: Rizvi has scored his runs against pace in the powerplay and middle overs. Rashid's leg-spin in overs 7-14 is a completely different challenge. How Rizvi handles Rashid's googly will determine whether DC maintain their scoring momentum.
Kuldeep Yadav vs Shubman Gill: If Gill returns, this matchup is critical. Kuldeep's wrist spin through the middle overs against Gill — who plays spin well but can be deceived by variations — could be the contest that defines the match.
Lungi Ngidi vs Sai Sudharsan: Sudharsan has been GT's most reliable batter. Ngidi's pace and bounce in the powerplay against the left-hander's technique will test Sudharsan's ability to anchor another GT innings.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
DC lead the head-to-head 4-3 across 7 IPL meetings against GT. The recent trend strongly favours Delhi — they have won the last 3 encounters, all of them close matches decided by margins of 4 runs, 6 wickets, and 5 runs.
GT won the first two meetings in their inaugural 2022 season when they were title winners. Since then, DC have figured out how to beat them. That psychological edge matters heading into this match.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi — Has hosted nearly 100 IPL matches with an average first innings score around 174.
- Pitch: Flat and good for batting. Chasing and batting first wins are evenly split at this venue — one of the most balanced grounds in the IPL.
- Weather: Partly cloudy, around 24°C by evening with minimal rain chance. Moderate dew expected in the second innings.
- Toss: Low impact. Both batting first and chasing are equally viable. Moderate dew gives a slight chasing advantage, but captains have successfully defended here too.
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi · 35,200 capacity
Full Guide →56m – 68m boundaries
170
Avg 1st Innings
51%
Chase Win Rate
55%
Toss → Field
💧 Moderate dew expected. Chase advantage: +4%. Slight edge to chasing side.
Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi has hosted 97+ IPL matches. The 35,200-capacity Arun Jaitley Cricket Stadium has a two-paced surface where leg-spinners thrive — Kuldeep Yadav has been devastating here.
Where This Match Will Be Won and Lost
DC's chasing ability is their biggest strength — and also their biggest unknown. Both wins came batting second. They have not been tested setting a total and defending it. If GT win the toss and bowl first, DC will be in unfamiliar territory. Against Rashid Khan and Rabada defending, that could be uncomfortable.
GT's problem is not any single department — it is consistency. They posted 162 against PBKS (not enough) and 204 against RR (close but not enough). Sudharsan apart, no GT batter has produced a match-winning knock. Buttler, Phillips, and Tewatia all need to step up. If Gill returns and scores, GT become a very different team.
The middle overs will decide this match. Rashid Khan vs DC's middle order on one side. Kuldeep Yadav and Axar Patel vs GT's fragile batting on the other. Whichever spin unit controls that phase takes the match.
DC vs GT Prediction: Delhi's Form and Home Advantage Give Them the Edge
Our AI model gives Delhi Capitals 57% win probability. The market has DC at around 54% — we see them slightly higher for three specific reasons: DC have won the last 3 H2H meetings against GT, Rizvi's current form is a genuine matchup advantage over GT's bowling, and Gill's fitness remains uncertain. Those factors give DC a 3-point edge over the market price.
That said, GT have the individual talent to win any match. If Gill returns fully fit, Rashid finds his rhythm, and Buttler fires, this could easily flip. Our 57% reflects a DC advantage, not a DC certainty. Back DC if odds stay at 1.85 or above for pre-toss value.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Best Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC | 57% | 54.1% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| GT | 43% | 45.9% | 2.05 | 2.33 |
Our model is 3 points above the market on DC. Here's why. The market prices DC at ~54% — we see 57%. The gap comes from three factors the market may be underweighting: DC's 3-0 H2H run against GT (all close wins that show matchup mastery), Rizvi's 160 runs in two matches (form this hot warps bowling plans), and Gill's fitness doubt (a captain coming back from a muscle spasm rarely performs at 100%). DC at 1.85 offers a 5.7% pre-toss edge. GT at 2.05 are below our fair price of 2.33.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win DC vs GT in IPL 2026?
Our AI model predicts Delhi Capitals to win with 57% probability. DC are 2-0 with dominant form, led by Sameer Rizvi's 160 runs in two matches. GT are 0-2 with captain Gill's fitness uncertain. DC have also won the last 3 H2H meetings.
What is the toss prediction for DC vs GT?
The toss has low impact at Arun Jaitley Stadium, where chasing and batting first wins are evenly split. Moderate dew gives a slight edge to the chasing side. DC are value in both toss scenarios.
What are the best odds for DC vs GT?
Best available odds are DC at 1.85 and GT at 2.05. Our model finds value on DC at 1.85, offering a 5.7% edge against our fair price of 1.75. GT at 2.05 are below fair value.
How does the toss affect DC vs GT?
The toss impact is small at this venue. If DC bat first, their win probability dips slightly to 55.8% with 3.4% edge at 1.85. If DC chase, they rise to 58.2% with 7.6% edge. DC are favoured regardless of toss outcome.
Will Shubman Gill play for GT?
Gill missed GT's last match against RR with a muscle spasm. GT management expects him to be fit for April 8, but match fitness after a spasm is uncertain. Rashid Khan captained in Gill's absence.
What is the head-to-head record between DC and GT?
DC lead 4-3 across 7 IPL meetings. DC have won the last 3 encounters, all decided by narrow margins. GT won the first two meetings during their title-winning 2022 season.
