Cricket match action
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Melbourne Stars cricket team logo

MS

VS
Melbourne Renegades cricket team logo

MR

WINNER
Melbourne Cricket Ground,

Big Bash League

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Match Recap

Last updated: 12 January 2026

Analysis by Vikram Sharma ยท Quantitative Strategist ยท

Result: Melbourne Renegades won by 4 wickets. MS 173/9 vs MR 177/6.

Our Prediction: Melbourne Stars โ€” Incorrect


Pre-match analysis published on 4 January 2026:

As tight as they come. Melbourne Stars get the nod by the slimmest margin.

Melbourne Cricket Ground offers no clear advantage either way, with chase rates sitting around 47%.

Both sides are evenly matched in the powerplay, scoring around 6.5 RPO. Early wickets are Melbourne Renegades's strength - 6.97 economy with the new ball.

Melbourne Renegades have the edge in the death overs, with bowlers going at just 8.08.

We're going with Melbourne Stars (52% confidence) in this one.

Win Probability

MS
MR

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase