Dhaka Capitals vs Rangpur Riders Match Prediction

Rangpur Riders are favoured to beat Dhaka Capitals in this rescheduled BPL clash at Sylhet. Faheem Ashraf, the tournaments leading wicket-taker with 11 scalps at 6.59 economy, gives Rangpur a significant bowling edge. The Riders enter with momentum after a clinical chase against Sylhet, while Dhaka arrive shell-shocked from a 10-wicket thrashing.

Team Context and Recent Form

Rangpur Riders (2W-1L, 4 pts, 3rd): Beat Sylhet Titans by 6 wickets in their last outing, chasing 145 with 7 balls to spare. Dawid Malan has been the anchor with 133 runs at 66.5 average - his steady accumulation providing the platform. Litton Das adds firepower at the top (98 runs, SR 146.27), while Mahmudullah offers experience in pressure situations. The only blemish was a Super Over loss to Rajshahi where they needed 7 off the final over with 7 wickets in hand but failed to close.

Dhaka Capitals (1W-2L, 2 pts, 5th): Demolished by Chattogram in their last match - bundled out for 122 and lost by 10 wickets without the Royals losing a single wicket. Shamim Hossain (102 runs, SR 161.9) remains the lone bright spot with the bat. Captain Mohammad Mithun desperately needs contributions from overseas stars Alex Hales and Dasun Shanaka, both of whom have underperformed. The bowling unit led by Taskin Ahmed has leaked runs consistently.

Key Player Stats

Venue Analysis

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium has produced batting-friendly conditions this tournament with average first innings scores around 160. The pitch offers true bounce and the ball comes onto the bat nicely. Evening matches see significant dew from around the 15th over of the second innings, reducing grip for spinners and making chasing considerably easier. Toss winner typically bowls first - expect that trend to continue.

Final Verdict

Rangpur have clear advantages: superior bowling depth with Faheem and Mustafizur, better batting form across Malan, Litton and Mahmudullah, and positive momentum. Dhakas confidence looks fragile after back-to-back losses and a negative NRR of -0.937.

Rangpur Riders at 62% confidence is our pick.

Value Note

Current odds of 1.53 on Rangpur imply 65.4%. Our model gives them 62%. No value at current prices. If you find Rangpur above 1.61 or Dhaka above 2.63, there is value. Monitor the market closer to toss time.