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Afghanistan vs India Toss Prediction (AFG vs IND)

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Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 19:00 IST · Arun Jaitley Stadium · AFG v IND 2026

Toss prediction page launched 9 September 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Afghanistan vs India match preview.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
field first
From our match preview: "Toss call: Field first — toss winners have chosen to bowl in 63% of the matches in our sample here, and heavy evening dew makes gripping the ball harder for the side defending."
Our toss call
70% field-first at Arun Jaitley Stadium · 53 tosses · captains chose to field 71.7% · 2017–2026
What happened
India elected to field
Stamped 26 Sept, 06:37 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
India won by 7 wickets ✓ match-winner prediction correct

Why bowl first here

Bowl first 70% Bat first 30%
  • Captains bowl first here. 38 of 53 toss winners have fielded at Arun Jaitley Stadium since 2017 (72%).
  • Dew is coming. Evening start (19:30 local) with 77% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.
  • Forecast: 29°C · humidity 77% · clear skies.
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (28 of 51).
  • Our call: bowl first — 70%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 10 tosses at Arun Jaitley Stadium

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-05-17Delhi CapitalsFieldDelhi CapitalsYes
2026-05-08Kolkata Knight RidersFieldKolkata Knight RidersYes
2026-05-05Delhi CapitalsBatChennai Super KingsYes
2026-04-27Royal Challengers BengaluruFieldRoyal Challengers BengaluruYes
2026-04-25Delhi CapitalsBatPunjab KingsYes
2026-04-08Delhi CapitalsFieldGujarat TitansNo
2026-04-04Delhi CapitalsFieldDelhi CapitalsYes
2026-03-01ZimbabweBatSouth AfricaYes
2026-02-18South AfricaFieldSouth AfricaYes
2026-02-13CanadaBatUnited Arab EmiratesYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

Does the toss matter at Arun Jaitley Stadium?

In 51 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 28 (54.9%).

Start: 14:00 UTC · 19:30 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 29°C · humidity 77% · clear skies

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC.

🏟️ What the toss means at Arun Jaitley Stadium

Toss impact: Neutral chasing and defending win almost equally here (51% chase win rate)

At Arun Jaitley Stadium the toss is close to a non-event — the numbers barely move whichever way the coin lands. Back your read on the cricket, not the coin.

How we made this Afghanistan vs India toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for AFG vs IND: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Afghanistan vs India prediction →

AFG vs IND toss prediction FAQ

Who won the AFG vs IND toss?

India won the AFG vs IND toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in AFG vs IND?

India chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the AFG vs IND match odds?

Barely. Arun Jaitley Stadium is close to toss-neutral — chasing and defending win almost equally here (51% chase win rate) — so the toss result hardly moves the match odds.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Full prediction archive →