Durham vs Lancashire Toss Prediction (DUR vs LAN)

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 23:00 IST · Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street · Blast

Last updated: 10 June 2026

Toss prediction page launched 8 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Durham vs Lancashire match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Toss: Chasing has won five of the last seven Twenty20s here, so the value call is to bowl first and chase."

What happened

Durham elected to bat

Stamped 10 Jun, 09:40 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Durham won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 38% of the time here

The toss went Durham's way — they chose to bat, so Lancashire chase. In this branch our model makes Durham 57.0% — fair odds 1.75 (LAN 2.33) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.0%.

How we made this Durham vs Lancashire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the data behind our toss calls.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for DUR vs LAN: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Durham vs Lancashire prediction →

DUR vs LAN toss prediction FAQ

Who won the DUR vs LAN toss?

Durham won the DUR vs LAN toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in DUR vs LAN?

Durham chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the DUR vs LAN match odds?

Meaningfully. Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street favours batting first (chases succeed only 38% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →