Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Amsterdam Flames Toss Prediction

ETPL 2026 · 24th Match · Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 09:30 UTC (10:30 local) · The Village, Malahide, Dublin

Toss prediction from this ground's history

What will the toss winner choose?

Bowl first · 70% field-first

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 12 of 16 men's T20 tosses at The Village, Malahide (75.0%, 2015–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%.

Based on: This ground's toss history
Tosses at this ground: 16
Chose to field: 75.0%
Period: 2015–2026

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

Why bowl first here

Bowl first 70% Bat first 30%

Captains bowl first here. 12 of 16 toss winners have fielded at The Village, Malahide since 2015 (75%).
No dew. Daytime start (10:30 local): conditions hold for both innings.
Cloud cover. 100% cloud at the start helps the new ball — bowl first.
Chasing wins here. 10 of 16 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (62.5%).
Our call: bowl first — 70%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 10 tosses at The Village, Malahide

Date	Toss winner	Chose	Match winner	Chased?
2026-09-09	Dublin Guardians	Field	Dublin Guardians	Yes
2025-09-21	England	Field	England	Yes
2025-09-17	England	Field	England	Yes
2022-06-28	India	Bat	India	No
2022-06-26	India	Field	India	Yes
2021-07-19	Ireland	Field	South Africa	No
2019-09-19	Netherlands	Bat	Scotland	Yes
2019-09-18	Ireland	Bat	Netherlands	Yes
2019-09-17	Scotland	Bat	Ireland	Yes
2019-09-16	Netherlands	Field	Scotland	No

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Edinburgh Castle Rockers have chosen to field in 2 of the 2 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 2: 2 field).

Amsterdam Flames have chosen to field in 1 of the 1 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 1: 1 field).

Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.

Does the toss matter at The Village, Malahide?

In 16 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 10 (62.5%).

Start: 09:30 UTC · 10:30 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 16°C · humidity 86% · overcast

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-11 12:07 UTC. Shown for context; the call above rests on the ground's history.

How this ECR vs ADF toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.

A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: how we predict toss decisions.

ECR vs ADF toss prediction FAQ

What is the ECR vs ADF toss prediction?

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 12 of 16 men's T20 tosses at The Village, Malahide (75.0%, 2015–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at The Village, Malahide?

In 16 decided men's T20 matches at The Village, Malahide in our data, the side batting second won 10 (62.5%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added within minutes of the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. This page updates within minutes of it, and the result is recorded against the call above.

More toss predictions

Last updated: 2026-09-11. Published 2026-09-11.

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