India vs United States Toss Prediction (IND vs USA)

Saturday, 7 February 2026 · 19:00 IST · Wankhede Stadium · T20 WC

Last updated: 9 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 9 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our India vs United States match preview on 19 January 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

Settled

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "These conditions suggest that the toss will be a critical factor, with the team winning it highly likely to opt for fielding."

What happened

United States elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

India won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 54% here

The toss went United States's way — they chose to field, so United States chase. In this branch our model makes India 91.0% — fair odds 1.10 (USA 11.11) against a pre-toss baseline of 95.0%.

How we made this India vs United States toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for IND vs USA: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full India vs United States prediction →

IND vs USA toss prediction FAQ

Who won the IND vs USA toss?

United States won the IND vs USA toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in IND vs USA?

United States chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first.

How does the toss affect the IND vs USA match odds?

Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →