Afghanistan vs New Zealand Toss Prediction (AFG vs NZ)

Sunday, 8 February 2026 · 11:00 IST · MA Chidambaram Stadium · T20 WC

Last updated: 9 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 9 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Afghanistan vs New Zealand match preview on 19 January 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

Settled

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "The toss decision will undoubtedly be crucial, with the team winning it likely opting to field first and attempt to exploit the chasing advantage."

What happened

Afghanistan elected to bat

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

New Zealand won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at MA Chidambaram Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 44% of the time here

The toss went Afghanistan's way — they chose to bat, so New Zealand chase. In this branch our model makes Afghanistan 40.0% — fair odds 2.50 (NZ 1.67) against a pre-toss baseline of 38.0%.

How we made this Afghanistan vs New Zealand toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for AFG vs NZ: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Afghanistan vs New Zealand prediction →

AFG vs NZ toss prediction FAQ

Who won the AFG vs NZ toss?

Afghanistan won the AFG vs NZ toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in AFG vs NZ?

Afghanistan chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first.

How does the toss affect the AFG vs NZ match odds?

Meaningfully. MA Chidambaram Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 44% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →