Afghanistan vs New Zealand Toss Prediction (AFG vs NZ)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field.
✗ Decision missed · Afghanistan elected to bat
Toss result
Afghanistan won the toss and chose to bat.
Afghanistan bat first
Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
New Zealand won ✓ match-winner prediction correct
From our match preview
The toss decision will undoubtedly be crucial, with the team winning it likely opting to field first and attempt to exploit the chasing advantage.
🏟️ What the toss means at MA Chidambaram Stadium
The toss went Afghanistan's way — they chose to bat, so New Zealand chase. In this branch our model makes Afghanistan 40.0% — fair odds 2.50 (NZ 1.67) against a pre-toss baseline of 38.0%.
How we made this Afghanistan vs New Zealand toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.
Toss prediction page launched 9 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Afghanistan vs New Zealand match preview.
Afghanistan vs New Zealand match prediction →
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AFG vs NZ toss prediction FAQ
Who won the AFG vs NZ toss?
Afghanistan won the AFG vs NZ toss and chose to bat first.
What did the toss winner choose in AFG vs NZ?
Afghanistan chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the AFG vs NZ match odds?
Meaningfully. MA Chidambaram Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 44% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →