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Essex vs Surrey Toss Prediction (ESS vs SUR)

Our toss call

Bowl first

From our match preview

We expect the toss winner to field.

✓ Decision called · Essex elected to field

By CricketPrediction.com ·

Toss result

Essex won the toss and chose to bowl.

Surrey bat first

Stamped 2 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Surrey won by 7 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct

Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 23:30 IST · County Ground · Cricket

From our match preview

Our lean is that the toss winner bowls first.

🏟️ What the toss means at County Ground

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 57% here

The toss went Essex's way — they chose to field, so Essex chase. In this branch our model makes Essex 45.4% — fair odds 2.20 (SUR 1.83) against a pre-toss baseline of 40.4%.

How we made this Essex vs Surrey toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full method, including venue toss patterns, dew and team news, see how we predict toss decisions.

Toss prediction page launched 29 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Essex vs Surrey match preview.

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ESS vs SUR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the ESS vs SUR toss?

Essex won the ESS vs SUR toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in ESS vs SUR?

Essex chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the ESS vs SUR match odds?

Meaningfully. County Ground favours chasing (teams batting second win 57% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

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More toss predictions

More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →

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