Yorkshire logo

Yorkshire vs Durham Toss Prediction (YOR vs DUR)

Durham logo

Friday, 3 July 2026 · 23:00 IST · Headingley · Cricket

Toss prediction page launched 29 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Yorkshire vs Durham match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed
Our predicted decision
field first
From the article: "Our lean is that the toss winner bowls first, which is why winning the toss still matters even in a game with a clear favourite."
What happened
Durham elected to bat
Stamped 4 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Yorkshire won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Headingley

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 37% of the time here

The toss went Durham's way — they chose to bat, so Yorkshire chase. In this branch our model makes Yorkshire 51.0% — fair odds 1.96 (DUR 2.04) against a pre-toss baseline of 56.0%.

How we made this Yorkshire vs Durham toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how the toss call is built.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for YOR vs DUR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Yorkshire vs Durham prediction →

YOR vs DUR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the YOR vs DUR toss?

Durham won the YOR vs DUR toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in YOR vs DUR?

Durham chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the YOR vs DUR match odds?

Meaningfully. Headingley favours batting first (chases succeed only 37% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →